**Above-average summer warmth across Saudi Arabia, reinforced by the National Center for Meteorology’s 2026 outlook projecting 1–1.6 °C positive temperature anomalies in the Makkah region, underpins trader positioning on 41 °C or higher (73.5 % implied probability) for Jeddah’s daily maximum on August 16.** Coastal Jeddah typically sees August highs of 37–39 °C amid Red Sea humidity and moderate north-westerly winds, yet persistent regional heatwaves and model consensus on limited cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation have elevated the chance of an outlier spike. Short-term guidance from sources such as BBC Weather and timeanddate.com centers on 39 °C, but the market reflects the potential for rapid intensification under the broader anomalous pattern, with resolution hinging on official Saudi meteorological observations. New model runs and NCM updates in the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 16?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 16?
41°C or higher 55%
40°C 20%
39°C 15%
38°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
1%
38°C
10%
39°C
15%
40°C
20%
41°C or higher
74%
41°C or higher 55%
40°C 20%
39°C 15%
38°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
31°C or below
$15 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$5 Vol.
1%
38°C
$0 Vol.
10%
39°C
$0 Vol.
15%
40°C
$0 Vol.
20%
41°C or higher
$41 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Above-average summer warmth across Saudi Arabia, reinforced by the National Center for Meteorology’s 2026 outlook projecting 1–1.6 °C positive temperature anomalies in the Makkah region, underpins trader positioning on 41 °C or higher (73.5 % implied probability) for Jeddah’s daily maximum on August 16.**
Coastal Jeddah typically sees August highs of 37–39 °C amid Red Sea humidity and moderate north-westerly winds, yet persistent regional heatwaves and model consensus on limited cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation have elevated the chance of an outlier spike. Short-term guidance from sources such as BBC Weather and timeanddate.com centers on 39 °C, but the market reflects the potential for rapid intensification under the broader anomalous pattern, with resolution hinging on official Saudi meteorological observations. New model runs and NCM updates in the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$126End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Above-average summer warmth across Saudi Arabia, reinforced by the National Center for Meteorology’s 2026 outlook projecting 1–1.6 °C positive temperature anomalies in the Makkah region, underpins trader positioning on 41 °C or higher (73.5 % implied probability) for Jeddah’s daily maximum on August 16.**
Coastal Jeddah typically sees August highs of 37–39 °C amid Red Sea humidity and moderate north-westerly winds, yet persistent regional heatwaves and model consensus on limited cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation have elevated the chance of an outlier spike. Short-term guidance from sources such as BBC Weather and timeanddate.com centers on 39 °C, but the market reflects the potential for rapid intensification under the broader anomalous pattern, with resolution hinging on official Saudi meteorological observations. New model runs and NCM updates in the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$126End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Above-average summer warmth across Saudi Arabia, reinforced by the National Center for Meteorology’s 2026 outlook projecting 1–1.6 °C positive temperature anomalies in the Makkah region, underpins trader positioning on 41 °C or higher (73.5 % implied probability) for Jeddah’s daily maximum on August 16.** Coastal Jeddah typically sees August highs of 37–39 °C amid Red Sea humidity and moderate north-westerly winds, yet persistent regional heatwaves and model consensus on limited cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation have elevated the chance of an outlier spike. Short-term guidance from sources such as BBC Weather and timeanddate.com centers on 39 °C, but the market reflects the potential for rapid intensification under the broader anomalous pattern, with resolution hinging on official Saudi meteorological observations. New model runs and NCM updates in the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions