Recent forecasts from regional models and Saudi meteorological agencies indicate daytime highs in Jeddah likely reaching 39–41°C on August 15, driven by persistent summer heat, high humidity from the Red Sea, and weak steering winds limiting cooling. National Center for Meteorology outlooks for summer 2026 project above-normal temperatures across the region, consistent with historical August averages near 38–40°C and occasional peaks exceeding 42°C. This positions the 40°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability, while lower bins reflect uncertainty in exact maximum readings amid typical diurnal variability and model spread. Final official measurements from local stations will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 15?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 15?
40°C or higher 64%
39°C 18%
38°C 11%
37°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
9%
38°C
11%
39°C
18%
40°C or higher
76%
40°C or higher 64%
39°C 18%
38°C 11%
37°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5 Vol.
1%
35°C
$5 Vol.
1%
36°C
$5 Vol.
1%
37°C
$5 Vol.
9%
38°C
$5 Vol.
11%
39°C
$5 Vol.
18%
40°C or higher
$250 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models and Saudi meteorological agencies indicate daytime highs in Jeddah likely reaching 39–41°C on August 15, driven by persistent summer heat, high humidity from the Red Sea, and weak steering winds limiting cooling. National Center for Meteorology outlooks for summer 2026 project above-normal temperatures across the region, consistent with historical August averages near 38–40°C and occasional peaks exceeding 42°C. This positions the 40°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability, while lower bins reflect uncertainty in exact maximum readings amid typical diurnal variability and model spread. Final official measurements from local stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$442End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models and Saudi meteorological agencies indicate daytime highs in Jeddah likely reaching 39–41°C on August 15, driven by persistent summer heat, high humidity from the Red Sea, and weak steering winds limiting cooling. National Center for Meteorology outlooks for summer 2026 project above-normal temperatures across the region, consistent with historical August averages near 38–40°C and occasional peaks exceeding 42°C. This positions the 40°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability, while lower bins reflect uncertainty in exact maximum readings amid typical diurnal variability and model spread. Final official measurements from local stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$442End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models and Saudi meteorological agencies indicate daytime highs in Jeddah likely reaching 39–41°C on August 15, driven by persistent summer heat, high humidity from the Red Sea, and weak steering winds limiting cooling. National Center for Meteorology outlooks for summer 2026 project above-normal temperatures across the region, consistent with historical August averages near 38–40°C and occasional peaks exceeding 42°C. This positions the 40°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability, while lower bins reflect uncertainty in exact maximum readings amid typical diurnal variability and model spread. Final official measurements from local stations will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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