Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate a mostly cloudy to partly sunny pattern for August 13, 2026, with scattered showers possible, supporting trader emphasis on 32–34°C outcomes. Typical August afternoons reach 31–32°C under high humidity and monsoon flow, but reduced solar heating from cloud cover or brief rain can cap maxima near 32°C, while clearer intervals allow brief peaks near 33–34°C. The normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperature outlook adds modest upside risk, though model consensus shows limited potential for 35°C or higher without stronger subsidence. Traders weigh these variables against historical August variability and upcoming forecast updates from official agencies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
33°C 42%
32°C 32%
34°C 17%
31°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
32%
33°C
42%
34°C
17%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
32°C 32%
34°C 17%
31°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
32%
33°C
42%
34°C
17%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate a mostly cloudy to partly sunny pattern for August 13, 2026, with scattered showers possible, supporting trader emphasis on 32–34°C outcomes. Typical August afternoons reach 31–32°C under high humidity and monsoon flow, but reduced solar heating from cloud cover or brief rain can cap maxima near 32°C, while clearer intervals allow brief peaks near 33–34°C. The normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperature outlook adds modest upside risk, though model consensus shows limited potential for 35°C or higher without stronger subsidence. Traders weigh these variables against historical August variability and upcoming forecast updates from official agencies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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