**Trader consensus in this market centers on a maximum temperature of 32–33°C for Karachi on August 13, 2026, with implied probabilities of 31.5% and 47.5% respectively.** These outcomes align closely with current model guidance and seasonal norms for the coastal city during peak monsoon. Persistent high humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, combined with below-normal rainfall and partly cloudy skies, limits daytime heating while preventing sharp drops or spikes. Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) outlooks and international models (including Met Office guidance) indicate a maximum near 32–33°C, consistent with August climatology of 31–33°C highs. A developing El Niño pattern may further suppress monsoon activity, maintaining these moderate levels rather than allowing stronger heating. With only two days until resolution, traders are weighting the latest short-range forecasts, which show little deviation from this narrow band and low odds for extremes below 31°C or above 34°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 13?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 13?
33°C 49%
32°C 32%
34°C 14%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
32%
33°C
49%
34°C
14%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 49%
32°C 32%
34°C 14%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
$45 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$319 Vol.
3%
31°C
$135 Vol.
6%
32°C
$206 Vol.
32%
33°C
$416 Vol.
49%
34°C
$292 Vol.
14%
35°C
$61 Vol.
4%
36°C
$45 Vol.
2%
37°C
$16 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$157 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in this market centers on a maximum temperature of 32–33°C for Karachi on August 13, 2026, with implied probabilities of 31.5% and 47.5% respectively.** These outcomes align closely with current model guidance and seasonal norms for the coastal city during peak monsoon.
Persistent high humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, combined with below-normal rainfall and partly cloudy skies, limits daytime heating while preventing sharp drops or spikes. Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) outlooks and international models (including Met Office guidance) indicate a maximum near 32–33°C, consistent with August climatology of 31–33°C highs.
A developing El Niño pattern may further suppress monsoon activity, maintaining these moderate levels rather than allowing stronger heating. With only two days until resolution, traders are weighting the latest short-range forecasts, which show little deviation from this narrow band and low odds for extremes below 31°C or above 34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,804End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in this market centers on a maximum temperature of 32–33°C for Karachi on August 13, 2026, with implied probabilities of 31.5% and 47.5% respectively.** These outcomes align closely with current model guidance and seasonal norms for the coastal city during peak monsoon.
Persistent high humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, combined with below-normal rainfall and partly cloudy skies, limits daytime heating while preventing sharp drops or spikes. Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) outlooks and international models (including Met Office guidance) indicate a maximum near 32–33°C, consistent with August climatology of 31–33°C highs.
A developing El Niño pattern may further suppress monsoon activity, maintaining these moderate levels rather than allowing stronger heating. With only two days until resolution, traders are weighting the latest short-range forecasts, which show little deviation from this narrow band and low odds for extremes below 31°C or above 34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,804End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus in this market centers on a maximum temperature of 32–33°C for Karachi on August 13, 2026, with implied probabilities of 31.5% and 47.5% respectively.** These outcomes align closely with current model guidance and seasonal norms for the coastal city during peak monsoon. Persistent high humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, combined with below-normal rainfall and partly cloudy skies, limits daytime heating while preventing sharp drops or spikes. Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) outlooks and international models (including Met Office guidance) indicate a maximum near 32–33°C, consistent with August climatology of 31–33°C highs. A developing El Niño pattern may further suppress monsoon activity, maintaining these moderate levels rather than allowing stronger heating. With only two days until resolution, traders are weighting the latest short-range forecasts, which show little deviation from this narrow band and low odds for extremes below 31°C or above 34°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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