Current meteorological forecasts and Ankara's inland continental climate position 30–31°C as the most probable maximum on August 13, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. August climatology shows typical daily highs near 31°C, supported by long-term averages from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and models such as ECMWF. Short-term guidance through mid-month indicates stable high-pressure conditions with minimal deviation from seasonal norms, no incoming cold fronts or heatwave signals, and dry air masses favoring clear skies and moderate diurnal ranges. Recent model consensus through August 11 shows little change in expected peak temperatures, keeping outcomes clustered tightly around historical benchmarks while acknowledging forecast uncertainty ranges inherent to 48-hour predictions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 13?
31°C 50%
30°C 31%
32°C 14%
29°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
31%
31°C
50%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 50%
30°C 31%
32°C 14%
29°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
$353 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$328 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$111 Vol.
2%
29°C
$185 Vol.
6%
30°C
$444 Vol.
31%
31°C
$1,271 Vol.
50%
32°C
$354 Vol.
14%
33°C
$295 Vol.
2%
34°C
$63 Vol.
1%
35°C
$116 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$86 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts and Ankara's inland continental climate position 30–31°C as the most probable maximum on August 13, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. August climatology shows typical daily highs near 31°C, supported by long-term averages from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and models such as ECMWF. Short-term guidance through mid-month indicates stable high-pressure conditions with minimal deviation from seasonal norms, no incoming cold fronts or heatwave signals, and dry air masses favoring clear skies and moderate diurnal ranges. Recent model consensus through August 11 shows little change in expected peak temperatures, keeping outcomes clustered tightly around historical benchmarks while acknowledging forecast uncertainty ranges inherent to 48-hour predictions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$3,604End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts and Ankara's inland continental climate position 30–31°C as the most probable maximum on August 13, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. August climatology shows typical daily highs near 31°C, supported by long-term averages from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and models such as ECMWF. Short-term guidance through mid-month indicates stable high-pressure conditions with minimal deviation from seasonal norms, no incoming cold fronts or heatwave signals, and dry air masses favoring clear skies and moderate diurnal ranges. Recent model consensus through August 11 shows little change in expected peak temperatures, keeping outcomes clustered tightly around historical benchmarks while acknowledging forecast uncertainty ranges inherent to 48-hour predictions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,604End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts and Ankara's inland continental climate position 30–31°C as the most probable maximum on August 13, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. August climatology shows typical daily highs near 31°C, supported by long-term averages from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and models such as ECMWF. Short-term guidance through mid-month indicates stable high-pressure conditions with minimal deviation from seasonal norms, no incoming cold fronts or heatwave signals, and dry air masses favoring clear skies and moderate diurnal ranges. Recent model consensus through August 11 shows little change in expected peak temperatures, keeping outcomes clustered tightly around historical benchmarks while acknowledging forecast uncertainty ranges inherent to 48-hour predictions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions