Current short-range forecasts from major meteorological agencies indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on August 11 will likely reach 24–26°C, driving the market's heaviest positioning on those outcomes. Recent model consensus reflects a moderating air mass after earlier August heat peaks near 31°C, with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited daytime heating expected under typical late-summer conditions. Historical August averages of 22–24°C provide context, while any stronger southerly flow or clearer skies could push readings higher; updated runs from the next 12–24 hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 11?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 11?
25°C 46%
24°C 29%
26°C 15%
23°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
29%
25°C
46%
26°C
15%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 46%
24°C 29%
26°C 15%
23°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
21°C or below
$355 Vol.
1%
22°C
$428 Vol.
2%
23°C
$322 Vol.
7%
24°C
$711 Vol.
29%
25°C
$421 Vol.
46%
26°C
$346 Vol.
15%
27°C
$113 Vol.
3%
28°C
$49 Vol.
2%
29°C
$232 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$327 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$408 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from major meteorological agencies indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on August 11 will likely reach 24–26°C, driving the market's heaviest positioning on those outcomes. Recent model consensus reflects a moderating air mass after earlier August heat peaks near 31°C, with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited daytime heating expected under typical late-summer conditions. Historical August averages of 22–24°C provide context, while any stronger southerly flow or clearer skies could push readings higher; updated runs from the next 12–24 hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$3,713End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from major meteorological agencies indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on August 11 will likely reach 24–26°C, driving the market's heaviest positioning on those outcomes. Recent model consensus reflects a moderating air mass after earlier August heat peaks near 31°C, with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited daytime heating expected under typical late-summer conditions. Historical August averages of 22–24°C provide context, while any stronger southerly flow or clearer skies could push readings higher; updated runs from the next 12–24 hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,713End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from major meteorological agencies indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on August 11 will likely reach 24–26°C, driving the market's heaviest positioning on those outcomes. Recent model consensus reflects a moderating air mass after earlier August heat peaks near 31°C, with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited daytime heating expected under typical late-summer conditions. Historical August averages of 22–24°C provide context, while any stronger southerly flow or clearer skies could push readings higher; updated runs from the next 12–24 hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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