Recent short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models points to a modest easing of the southeastern heatwave by August 10, with daytime maxima in Busan most likely clustering near 29–31 °C amid increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and stronger southerly maritime flow. The North Pacific High continues to dominate but is expected to allow greater moisture advection and localized convection that limits peak insolation, while Busan’s coastal location adds a moderating sea-breeze effect. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–31 °C, yet the current setup features higher uncertainty from divergent model solutions on timing of any rainfall. Traders therefore assign the closest probabilities to 29–31 °C outcomes, reflecting both the forecast consensus and the narrow margin between these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 10?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 10?
30°C 33%
31°C 24%
29°C 21%
28°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
15%
28°C
19%
29°C
21%
30°C
33%
31°C
24%
32°C
6%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 33%
31°C 24%
29°C 21%
28°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$22 Vol.
15%
28°C
$22 Vol.
19%
29°C
$0 Vol.
21%
30°C
$0 Vol.
33%
31°C
$32 Vol.
24%
32°C
$0 Vol.
6%
33°C
$0 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models points to a modest easing of the southeastern heatwave by August 10, with daytime maxima in Busan most likely clustering near 29–31 °C amid increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and stronger southerly maritime flow. The North Pacific High continues to dominate but is expected to allow greater moisture advection and localized convection that limits peak insolation, while Busan’s coastal location adds a moderating sea-breeze effect. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–31 °C, yet the current setup features higher uncertainty from divergent model solutions on timing of any rainfall. Traders therefore assign the closest probabilities to 29–31 °C outcomes, reflecting both the forecast consensus and the narrow margin between these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$112End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models points to a modest easing of the southeastern heatwave by August 10, with daytime maxima in Busan most likely clustering near 29–31 °C amid increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and stronger southerly maritime flow. The North Pacific High continues to dominate but is expected to allow greater moisture advection and localized convection that limits peak insolation, while Busan’s coastal location adds a moderating sea-breeze effect. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–31 °C, yet the current setup features higher uncertainty from divergent model solutions on timing of any rainfall. Traders therefore assign the closest probabilities to 29–31 °C outcomes, reflecting both the forecast consensus and the narrow margin between these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$112End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models points to a modest easing of the southeastern heatwave by August 10, with daytime maxima in Busan most likely clustering near 29–31 °C amid increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and stronger southerly maritime flow. The North Pacific High continues to dominate but is expected to allow greater moisture advection and localized convection that limits peak insolation, while Busan’s coastal location adds a moderating sea-breeze effect. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–31 °C, yet the current setup features higher uncertainty from divergent model solutions on timing of any rainfall. Traders therefore assign the closest probabilities to 29–31 °C outcomes, reflecting both the forecast consensus and the narrow margin between these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions