**Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the likely daily maximum in Tokyo on August 8, 2026, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency’s official forecast of partly cloudy skies and a predicted high of 35°C under the influence of a strengthened Pacific subtropical high.** This setup favors clear to partly cloudy conditions, solar heating, and limited cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with above-normal seasonal temperatures projected for summer 2026. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect further elevates observed maxima relative to surrounding areas, while typical August humidity (often 70–80%) supports rapid daytime warming after morning lows near 25°C. Recent JMA guidance shows no significant model shifts or disruptive systems such as typhoons for the immediate period, reinforcing the narrow probability band around these thresholds. Updated forecasts or real-time observations near peak heating hours remain the key variables that could refine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 8?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 8?
34°C 70%
35°C 26%
36°C 3.7%
37°C or higher <1%
NEW
$41,733 Vol.
NEW
$41,733 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
70%
35°C
26%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 70%
35°C 26%
36°C 3.7%
37°C or higher <1%
NEW
$41,733 Vol.
NEW
$41,733 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
27°C or below
$408 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,167 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,126 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,509 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,543 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,026 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$8,272 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$4,527 Vol.
70%
35°C
$5,901 Vol.
26%
36°C
$6,563 Vol.
4%
37°C or higher
$2,692 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the likely daily maximum in Tokyo on August 8, 2026, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency’s official forecast of partly cloudy skies and a predicted high of 35°C under the influence of a strengthened Pacific subtropical high.** This setup favors clear to partly cloudy conditions, solar heating, and limited cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with above-normal seasonal temperatures projected for summer 2026. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect further elevates observed maxima relative to surrounding areas, while typical August humidity (often 70–80%) supports rapid daytime warming after morning lows near 25°C. Recent JMA guidance shows no significant model shifts or disruptive systems such as typhoons for the immediate period, reinforcing the narrow probability band around these thresholds. Updated forecasts or real-time observations near peak heating hours remain the key variables that could refine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$41,733End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the likely daily maximum in Tokyo on August 8, 2026, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency’s official forecast of partly cloudy skies and a predicted high of 35°C under the influence of a strengthened Pacific subtropical high.** This setup favors clear to partly cloudy conditions, solar heating, and limited cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with above-normal seasonal temperatures projected for summer 2026. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect further elevates observed maxima relative to surrounding areas, while typical August humidity (often 70–80%) supports rapid daytime warming after morning lows near 25°C. Recent JMA guidance shows no significant model shifts or disruptive systems such as typhoons for the immediate period, reinforcing the narrow probability band around these thresholds. Updated forecasts or real-time observations near peak heating hours remain the key variables that could refine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,733End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 34–35°C as the likely daily maximum in Tokyo on August 8, 2026, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency’s official forecast of partly cloudy skies and a predicted high of 35°C under the influence of a strengthened Pacific subtropical high.** This setup favors clear to partly cloudy conditions, solar heating, and limited cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with above-normal seasonal temperatures projected for summer 2026. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect further elevates observed maxima relative to surrounding areas, while typical August humidity (often 70–80%) supports rapid daytime warming after morning lows near 25°C. Recent JMA guidance shows no significant model shifts or disruptive systems such as typhoons for the immediate period, reinforcing the narrow probability band around these thresholds. Updated forecasts or real-time observations near peak heating hours remain the key variables that could refine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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