**Trader consensus has locked onto 92-93°F as the resolution for the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport station on August 7, 2026, reflecting the actual official high that materialized under persistent heat-advisory conditions.** Forecast models from the National Weather Service anticipated a peak near 90–91°F with southwesterly flow and elevated humidity, yet afternoon observations pushed readings one to two degrees higher, consistent with urban heat-island amplification and limited cloud cover. This outcome aligns with climatological expectations for early-August peaks in the region while highlighting the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature verification. The only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution involve post-event data revisions at the primary station or an unanticipated switch in the official reporting source—both rare once preliminary NWS climatological reports are issued.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 7?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 7?
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$92,749 Vol.
$92,749 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
100%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$92,749 Vol.
$92,749 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
81°F or below
$491 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,929 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$14,795 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$6,835 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$6,499 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$14,834 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$18,720 Vol.
100%
94-95°F
$11,153 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$15,392 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$1,564 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$538 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked onto 92-93°F as the resolution for the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport station on August 7, 2026, reflecting the actual official high that materialized under persistent heat-advisory conditions.**
Forecast models from the National Weather Service anticipated a peak near 90–91°F with southwesterly flow and elevated humidity, yet afternoon observations pushed readings one to two degrees higher, consistent with urban heat-island amplification and limited cloud cover. This outcome aligns with climatological expectations for early-August peaks in the region while highlighting the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature verification. The only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution involve post-event data revisions at the primary station or an unanticipated switch in the official reporting source—both rare once preliminary NWS climatological reports are issued.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$92,749End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked onto 92-93°F as the resolution for the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport station on August 7, 2026, reflecting the actual official high that materialized under persistent heat-advisory conditions.**
Forecast models from the National Weather Service anticipated a peak near 90–91°F with southwesterly flow and elevated humidity, yet afternoon observations pushed readings one to two degrees higher, consistent with urban heat-island amplification and limited cloud cover. This outcome aligns with climatological expectations for early-August peaks in the region while highlighting the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature verification. The only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution involve post-event data revisions at the primary station or an unanticipated switch in the official reporting source—both rare once preliminary NWS climatological reports are issued.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$92,749End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has locked onto 92-93°F as the resolution for the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport station on August 7, 2026, reflecting the actual official high that materialized under persistent heat-advisory conditions.** Forecast models from the National Weather Service anticipated a peak near 90–91°F with southwesterly flow and elevated humidity, yet afternoon observations pushed readings one to two degrees higher, consistent with urban heat-island amplification and limited cloud cover. This outcome aligns with climatological expectations for early-August peaks in the region while highlighting the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature verification. The only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution involve post-event data revisions at the primary station or an unanticipated switch in the official reporting source—both rare once preliminary NWS climatological reports are issued.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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