Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance currently point to a daily high near 91°F in New York City on August 8, driven by a persistent Bermuda High pattern that favors southerly flow, elevated dew points, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns closely with the market's heaviest weighting on the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins, reflecting trader consensus around an outcome well above the 83°F seasonal average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest afternoon convection risk that could trim the peak by 1–2°F. Official Central Park or LaGuardia observations will determine resolution, and any last-minute shift in steering winds or timing of sea-breeze effects remains the key variable still priced into the lower-probability tails.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 8?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 8?
90-91°F 46%
92-93°F 30%
88-89°F 19%
86-87°F 3%
NEW
$35,254 Vol.
NEW
$35,254 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
46%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 46%
92-93°F 30%
88-89°F 19%
86-87°F 3%
NEW
$35,254 Vol.
NEW
$35,254 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
81°F or below
$614 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$613 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,694 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$4,604 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$7,806 Vol.
19%
90-91°F
$3,366 Vol.
46%
92-93°F
$3,774 Vol.
30%
94-95°F
$8,287 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$2,454 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$1,369 Vol.
1%
100°F or higher
$673 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance currently point to a daily high near 91°F in New York City on August 8, driven by a persistent Bermuda High pattern that favors southerly flow, elevated dew points, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns closely with the market's heaviest weighting on the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins, reflecting trader consensus around an outcome well above the 83°F seasonal average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest afternoon convection risk that could trim the peak by 1–2°F. Official Central Park or LaGuardia observations will determine resolution, and any last-minute shift in steering winds or timing of sea-breeze effects remains the key variable still priced into the lower-probability tails.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$35,254End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance currently point to a daily high near 91°F in New York City on August 8, driven by a persistent Bermuda High pattern that favors southerly flow, elevated dew points, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns closely with the market's heaviest weighting on the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins, reflecting trader consensus around an outcome well above the 83°F seasonal average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest afternoon convection risk that could trim the peak by 1–2°F. Official Central Park or LaGuardia observations will determine resolution, and any last-minute shift in steering winds or timing of sea-breeze effects remains the key variable still priced into the lower-probability tails.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,254End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance currently point to a daily high near 91°F in New York City on August 8, driven by a persistent Bermuda High pattern that favors southerly flow, elevated dew points, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns closely with the market's heaviest weighting on the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins, reflecting trader consensus around an outcome well above the 83°F seasonal average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest afternoon convection risk that could trim the peak by 1–2°F. Official Central Park or LaGuardia observations will determine resolution, and any last-minute shift in steering winds or timing of sea-breeze effects remains the key variable still priced into the lower-probability tails.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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