**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 32°C or higher for Taipei’s daily maximum on August 8 because subtropical summer conditions reliably produce highs in the low-to-mid 30s.** August climatology shows average daily maxima near 32–34°C, with recent observations confirming peaks of 35–37°C earlier in the month. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model runs indicate sufficient insolation, light steering flow, and boundary-layer moisture to support afternoon temperatures reaching at least 32–34°C before any evening convection develops. The market-implied probability near 100% reflects this strong consensus across authoritative forecasts, with only narrow uncertainty from localized heavy showers that could briefly suppress readings. A sustained, widespread rain band arriving earlier than modeled or an unforecast stronger cold pool could theoretically keep the high below 32°C, but such outcomes remain low-probability given current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 8?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 8?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEW
$99,357 Vol.
NEW
$99,357 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEW
$99,357 Vol.
NEW
$99,357 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
$803 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,128 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,595 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,411 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,394 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,930 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$7,885 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$11,489 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$23,608 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$13,093 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$26,021 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 32°C or higher for Taipei’s daily maximum on August 8 because subtropical summer conditions reliably produce highs in the low-to-mid 30s.** August climatology shows average daily maxima near 32–34°C, with recent observations confirming peaks of 35–37°C earlier in the month. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model runs indicate sufficient insolation, light steering flow, and boundary-layer moisture to support afternoon temperatures reaching at least 32–34°C before any evening convection develops. The market-implied probability near 100% reflects this strong consensus across authoritative forecasts, with only narrow uncertainty from localized heavy showers that could briefly suppress readings. A sustained, widespread rain band arriving earlier than modeled or an unforecast stronger cold pool could theoretically keep the high below 32°C, but such outcomes remain low-probability given current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$99,357End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 32°C or higher for Taipei’s daily maximum on August 8 because subtropical summer conditions reliably produce highs in the low-to-mid 30s.** August climatology shows average daily maxima near 32–34°C, with recent observations confirming peaks of 35–37°C earlier in the month. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model runs indicate sufficient insolation, light steering flow, and boundary-layer moisture to support afternoon temperatures reaching at least 32–34°C before any evening convection develops. The market-implied probability near 100% reflects this strong consensus across authoritative forecasts, with only narrow uncertainty from localized heavy showers that could briefly suppress readings. A sustained, widespread rain band arriving earlier than modeled or an unforecast stronger cold pool could theoretically keep the high below 32°C, but such outcomes remain low-probability given current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$99,357End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 32°C or higher for Taipei’s daily maximum on August 8 because subtropical summer conditions reliably produce highs in the low-to-mid 30s.** August climatology shows average daily maxima near 32–34°C, with recent observations confirming peaks of 35–37°C earlier in the month. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model runs indicate sufficient insolation, light steering flow, and boundary-layer moisture to support afternoon temperatures reaching at least 32–34°C before any evening convection develops. The market-implied probability near 100% reflects this strong consensus across authoritative forecasts, with only narrow uncertainty from localized heavy showers that could briefly suppress readings. A sustained, widespread rain band arriving earlier than modeled or an unforecast stronger cold pool could theoretically keep the high below 32°C, but such outcomes remain low-probability given current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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