Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration highlight a subtropical ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and strong daytime heating in Shenzhen, positioning afternoon maxima near 36–37°C as the most probable outcomes. High humidity near 60–70% elevates heat indices, while light winds and potential late-day convection introduce minor uncertainty that could cap readings at 36°C or allow brief spikes to 37°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighing these variables against historical August baselines around 32°C and recent regional heat patterns, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from calibrated urban stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 8?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 8?
36°C 39%
37°C 30%
38°C 16%
35°C 15%
NEW
$50,066 Vol.
NEW
$50,066 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
5%
35°C
15%
36°C
39%
37°C
30%
38°C
16%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 39%
37°C 30%
38°C 16%
35°C 15%
NEW
$50,066 Vol.
NEW
$50,066 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
30°C or below
$6,444 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$811 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,867 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,111 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$4,970 Vol.
5%
35°C
$6,957 Vol.
15%
36°C
$3,935 Vol.
39%
37°C
$5,140 Vol.
30%
38°C
$3,624 Vol.
16%
39°C
$3,239 Vol.
2%
40°C or higher
$4,970 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration highlight a subtropical ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and strong daytime heating in Shenzhen, positioning afternoon maxima near 36–37°C as the most probable outcomes. High humidity near 60–70% elevates heat indices, while light winds and potential late-day convection introduce minor uncertainty that could cap readings at 36°C or allow brief spikes to 37°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighing these variables against historical August baselines around 32°C and recent regional heat patterns, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from calibrated urban stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$50,066End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration highlight a subtropical ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and strong daytime heating in Shenzhen, positioning afternoon maxima near 36–37°C as the most probable outcomes. High humidity near 60–70% elevates heat indices, while light winds and potential late-day convection introduce minor uncertainty that could cap readings at 36°C or allow brief spikes to 37°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighing these variables against historical August baselines around 32°C and recent regional heat patterns, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from calibrated urban stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,066End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration highlight a subtropical ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and strong daytime heating in Shenzhen, positioning afternoon maxima near 36–37°C as the most probable outcomes. High humidity near 60–70% elevates heat indices, while light winds and potential late-day convection introduce minor uncertainty that could cap readings at 36°C or allow brief spikes to 37°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighing these variables against historical August baselines around 32°C and recent regional heat patterns, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from calibrated urban stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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