Current forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's August 8 high near 37–38°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity, variable cloud cover, and possible showers moderating peak values. Historical August maxima average around 33–35°C, though brief spikes to 38–39°C occur when clear skies and weak winds align; recent patterns show no strong heat dome or typhoon steering that would push extremes higher. Trader consensus favoring 38°C (60.5%) and 39°C (27%) reflects these model runs and the narrow window for intensification before resolution at local stations. Updated observations and evening model guidance could shift odds if afternoon clearing intensifies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 8?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 8?
38°C 61%
39°C 28%
37°C 11%
40°C 3.0%
$29,936 Vol.
$29,936 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
11%
38°C
61%
39°C
28%
40°C
3%
41°C or higher
<1%
38°C 61%
39°C 28%
37°C 11%
40°C 3.0%
$29,936 Vol.
$29,936 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
$1,261 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,155 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,517 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,285 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,585 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,531 Vol.
1%
37°C
$3,830 Vol.
11%
38°C
$5,780 Vol.
61%
39°C
$4,047 Vol.
28%
40°C
$3,320 Vol.
3%
41°C or higher
$2,624 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's August 8 high near 37–38°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity, variable cloud cover, and possible showers moderating peak values. Historical August maxima average around 33–35°C, though brief spikes to 38–39°C occur when clear skies and weak winds align; recent patterns show no strong heat dome or typhoon steering that would push extremes higher. Trader consensus favoring 38°C (60.5%) and 39°C (27%) reflects these model runs and the narrow window for intensification before resolution at local stations. Updated observations and evening model guidance could shift odds if afternoon clearing intensifies.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$29,936End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's August 8 high near 37–38°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity, variable cloud cover, and possible showers moderating peak values. Historical August maxima average around 33–35°C, though brief spikes to 38–39°C occur when clear skies and weak winds align; recent patterns show no strong heat dome or typhoon steering that would push extremes higher. Trader consensus favoring 38°C (60.5%) and 39°C (27%) reflects these model runs and the narrow window for intensification before resolution at local stations. Updated observations and evening model guidance could shift odds if afternoon clearing intensifies.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,936End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models place Guangzhou's August 8 high near 37–38°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity, variable cloud cover, and possible showers moderating peak values. Historical August maxima average around 33–35°C, though brief spikes to 38–39°C occur when clear skies and weak winds align; recent patterns show no strong heat dome or typhoon steering that would push extremes higher. Trader consensus favoring 38°C (60.5%) and 39°C (27%) reflects these model runs and the narrow window for intensification before resolution at local stations. Updated observations and evening model guidance could shift odds if afternoon clearing intensifies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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