Recent forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources and global models indicate a peak near 34°C in Qingdao on August 8 under cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow, keeping the market's tight clustering around 33–35°C. Persistent regional heat driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge has produced daily maxima of 34–37°C across Shandong in early August, yet increased cloud cover and humidity today limit surface heating and afternoon convection. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to stable steering patterns, with resolution hinging on precise official station readings that incorporate standard WMO shelter measurements. Any unexpected clearing could push readings toward 35°C, while lingering marine influence or earlier precipitation favors the lower end of the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 8?
33°C 41.6%
34°C 28%
35°C 27%
36°C 11%
$33,304 Vol.
$33,304 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
29%
34°C
32%
35°C
27%
36°C
11%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
33°C 41.6%
34°C 28%
35°C 27%
36°C 11%
$33,304 Vol.
$33,304 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
29%
34°C
32%
35°C
27%
36°C
11%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources and global models indicate a peak near 34°C in Qingdao on August 8 under cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow, keeping the market's tight clustering around 33–35°C. Persistent regional heat driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge has produced daily maxima of 34–37°C across Shandong in early August, yet increased cloud cover and humidity today limit surface heating and afternoon convection. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to stable steering patterns, with resolution hinging on precise official station readings that incorporate standard WMO shelter measurements. Any unexpected clearing could push readings toward 35°C, while lingering marine influence or earlier precipitation favors the lower end of the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions