Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate moderating conditions for Qingdao on August 9, with highs centered near 32–34°C as a heatwave eases. Increasing cloud cover, light rain chances, and a shift to easterly flow are expected to limit peak solar heating and surface warming compared with the clearer, hotter days of August 7–8. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity further cap maxima, while model spread in timing of any showers introduces uncertainty around whether the daily high reaches 34°C or stays at 32–33°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-term atmospheric changes heavily, reflected in the tight clustering of probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 9?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 9?
33°C 35%
32°C 26%
34°C 20%
31°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
26%
33°C
35%
34°C
20%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
32°C 26%
34°C 20%
31°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
$666 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$510 Vol.
1%
29°C
$248 Vol.
5%
30°C
$291 Vol.
5%
31°C
$314 Vol.
14%
32°C
$323 Vol.
26%
33°C
$503 Vol.
35%
34°C
$775 Vol.
20%
35°C
$229 Vol.
5%
36°C
$144 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate moderating conditions for Qingdao on August 9, with highs centered near 32–34°C as a heatwave eases. Increasing cloud cover, light rain chances, and a shift to easterly flow are expected to limit peak solar heating and surface warming compared with the clearer, hotter days of August 7–8. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity further cap maxima, while model spread in timing of any showers introduces uncertainty around whether the daily high reaches 34°C or stays at 32–33°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-term atmospheric changes heavily, reflected in the tight clustering of probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$4,112End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate moderating conditions for Qingdao on August 9, with highs centered near 32–34°C as a heatwave eases. Increasing cloud cover, light rain chances, and a shift to easterly flow are expected to limit peak solar heating and surface warming compared with the clearer, hotter days of August 7–8. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity further cap maxima, while model spread in timing of any showers introduces uncertainty around whether the daily high reaches 34°C or stays at 32–33°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-term atmospheric changes heavily, reflected in the tight clustering of probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,112End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate moderating conditions for Qingdao on August 9, with highs centered near 32–34°C as a heatwave eases. Increasing cloud cover, light rain chances, and a shift to easterly flow are expected to limit peak solar heating and surface warming compared with the clearer, hotter days of August 7–8. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity further cap maxima, while model spread in timing of any showers introduces uncertainty around whether the daily high reaches 34°C or stays at 32–33°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-term atmospheric changes heavily, reflected in the tight clustering of probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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