Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions driven by a strong North Pacific High are elevating overnight minimums across the Seoul-Incheon corridor through mid-August 2026, with the Korea Meteorological Administration maintaining severe warnings amid suppressed nocturnal cooling from subsidence, clear skies, and high humidity. This setup, compounded by urban heat island effects at Incheon International Airport station, supports trader clustering around 24–26°C for the August 10 low, as recent model runs indicate limited relief from the seasonal average of ~22–24°C. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on forecast variability in cloud cover, wind patterns, and any localized showers that could enhance radiative cooling, with KMA short-range updates expected to refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 10?
25°C 45%
26°C 28%
27°C 8%
23°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
40%
25°C
45%
26°C
28%
27°C
8%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 45%
26°C 28%
27°C 8%
23°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
19°C or below
$27 Vol.
1%
20°C
$27 Vol.
1%
21°C
$27 Vol.
1%
22°C
$6 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
7%
24°C
$25 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
45%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$6 Vol.
8%
28°C
$27 Vol.
4%
29°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions driven by a strong North Pacific High are elevating overnight minimums across the Seoul-Incheon corridor through mid-August 2026, with the Korea Meteorological Administration maintaining severe warnings amid suppressed nocturnal cooling from subsidence, clear skies, and high humidity. This setup, compounded by urban heat island effects at Incheon International Airport station, supports trader clustering around 24–26°C for the August 10 low, as recent model runs indicate limited relief from the seasonal average of ~22–24°C. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on forecast variability in cloud cover, wind patterns, and any localized showers that could enhance radiative cooling, with KMA short-range updates expected to refine the precise threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$173End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions driven by a strong North Pacific High are elevating overnight minimums across the Seoul-Incheon corridor through mid-August 2026, with the Korea Meteorological Administration maintaining severe warnings amid suppressed nocturnal cooling from subsidence, clear skies, and high humidity. This setup, compounded by urban heat island effects at Incheon International Airport station, supports trader clustering around 24–26°C for the August 10 low, as recent model runs indicate limited relief from the seasonal average of ~22–24°C. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on forecast variability in cloud cover, wind patterns, and any localized showers that could enhance radiative cooling, with KMA short-range updates expected to refine the precise threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$173End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions driven by a strong North Pacific High are elevating overnight minimums across the Seoul-Incheon corridor through mid-August 2026, with the Korea Meteorological Administration maintaining severe warnings amid suppressed nocturnal cooling from subsidence, clear skies, and high humidity. This setup, compounded by urban heat island effects at Incheon International Airport station, supports trader clustering around 24–26°C for the August 10 low, as recent model runs indicate limited relief from the seasonal average of ~22–24°C. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on forecast variability in cloud cover, wind patterns, and any localized showers that could enhance radiative cooling, with KMA short-range updates expected to refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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