Recent short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance from European models position Munich’s August 8 maximum near 29–30°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, following a cooling trend after early-August peaks above 30°C. This consensus, combined with modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, explains the market’s strong preference for 30°C (52.5%) and 29°C (26.5%). The German Weather Service (DWD) station measurement of the calendar-day maximum will determine resolution, consistent with historical late-summer variability under weakening high pressure. Updated model cycles over the next 24 hours represent the key upcoming data that could refine these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 8?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 8?
30°C 53%
29°C 27%
31°C 13%
28°C 6%
NEW
$51,084 Vol.
NEW
$51,084 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
6%
29°C
27%
30°C
53%
31°C
13%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 53%
29°C 27%
31°C 13%
28°C 6%
NEW
$51,084 Vol.
NEW
$51,084 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
$867 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$974 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,865 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,327 Vol.
6%
29°C
$11,020 Vol.
27%
30°C
$5,400 Vol.
53%
31°C
$7,848 Vol.
13%
32°C
$5,631 Vol.
1%
33°C
$2,668 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,023 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$5,461 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance from European models position Munich’s August 8 maximum near 29–30°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, following a cooling trend after early-August peaks above 30°C. This consensus, combined with modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, explains the market’s strong preference for 30°C (52.5%) and 29°C (26.5%). The German Weather Service (DWD) station measurement of the calendar-day maximum will determine resolution, consistent with historical late-summer variability under weakening high pressure. Updated model cycles over the next 24 hours represent the key upcoming data that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$51,084End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance from European models position Munich’s August 8 maximum near 29–30°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, following a cooling trend after early-August peaks above 30°C. This consensus, combined with modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, explains the market’s strong preference for 30°C (52.5%) and 29°C (26.5%). The German Weather Service (DWD) station measurement of the calendar-day maximum will determine resolution, consistent with historical late-summer variability under weakening high pressure. Updated model cycles over the next 24 hours represent the key upcoming data that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51,084End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance from European models position Munich’s August 8 maximum near 29–30°C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, following a cooling trend after early-August peaks above 30°C. This consensus, combined with modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, explains the market’s strong preference for 30°C (52.5%) and 29°C (26.5%). The German Weather Service (DWD) station measurement of the calendar-day maximum will determine resolution, consistent with historical late-summer variability under weakening high pressure. Updated model cycles over the next 24 hours represent the key upcoming data that could refine these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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