Recent official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate overcast skies with possible thunderstorms and northeasterly winds for Shanghai on August 9, 2026, limiting daytime heating and anchoring the daily maximum near 29–30°C. These conditions align with observed moderation after earlier August peaks above 35°C, consistent with typical late-summer climatology of 31–32°C highs amid high humidity. Market-implied odds favor 29°C and 30°C most heavily because ensemble guidance shows consensus on cloud cover suppressing further warming, though minor shifts in storm timing or wind patterns could adjust outcomes. Updated model runs and regional briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 9?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 9?
29°C 43%
30°C 31%
28°C 16%
31°C 7%
NEW
$52,982 Vol.
NEW
$52,982 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
16%
29°C
43%
30°C
31%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 43%
30°C 31%
28°C 16%
31°C 7%
NEW
$52,982 Vol.
NEW
$52,982 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
$10,833 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,785 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,110 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,186 Vol.
3%
28°C
$5,858 Vol.
16%
29°C
$7,079 Vol.
43%
30°C
$6,450 Vol.
31%
31°C
$4,550 Vol.
7%
32°C
$1,735 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,391 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$2,005 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate overcast skies with possible thunderstorms and northeasterly winds for Shanghai on August 9, 2026, limiting daytime heating and anchoring the daily maximum near 29–30°C. These conditions align with observed moderation after earlier August peaks above 35°C, consistent with typical late-summer climatology of 31–32°C highs amid high humidity. Market-implied odds favor 29°C and 30°C most heavily because ensemble guidance shows consensus on cloud cover suppressing further warming, though minor shifts in storm timing or wind patterns could adjust outcomes. Updated model runs and regional briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$52,982End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate overcast skies with possible thunderstorms and northeasterly winds for Shanghai on August 9, 2026, limiting daytime heating and anchoring the daily maximum near 29–30°C. These conditions align with observed moderation after earlier August peaks above 35°C, consistent with typical late-summer climatology of 31–32°C highs amid high humidity. Market-implied odds favor 29°C and 30°C most heavily because ensemble guidance shows consensus on cloud cover suppressing further warming, though minor shifts in storm timing or wind patterns could adjust outcomes. Updated model runs and regional briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,982End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate overcast skies with possible thunderstorms and northeasterly winds for Shanghai on August 9, 2026, limiting daytime heating and anchoring the daily maximum near 29–30°C. These conditions align with observed moderation after earlier August peaks above 35°C, consistent with typical late-summer climatology of 31–32°C highs amid high humidity. Market-implied odds favor 29°C and 30°C most heavily because ensemble guidance shows consensus on cloud cover suppressing further warming, though minor shifts in storm timing or wind patterns could adjust outcomes. Updated model runs and regional briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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