Forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate an overnight low near 28°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by the persistent western Pacific subtropical high that sustains humidity above 70% and suppresses radiative cooling under light winds. This synoptic pattern, combined with expected scattered showers or increased cloud cover, favors heat retention and positions the 28°C outcome as the market leader at 59% implied probability, ahead of 27°C at 26%. Historical early-August climatology shows typical lows around 26°C, but current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly with limited model spread; clearer skies or stronger onshore flow could shift readings slightly lower ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 8?
28°C 70%
27°C 26%
26°C 7%
25°C 4.0%
NEW
$16,592 Vol.
NEW
$16,592 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
26%
28°C
60%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 70%
27°C 26%
26°C 7%
25°C 4.0%
NEW
$16,592 Vol.
NEW
$16,592 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
$643 Vol.
1%
23°C
$538 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,005 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,221 Vol.
4%
26°C
$636 Vol.
7%
27°C
$1,101 Vol.
26%
28°C
$1,872 Vol.
60%
29°C
$3,676 Vol.
3%
30°C
$4,249 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,517 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$134 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate an overnight low near 28°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by the persistent western Pacific subtropical high that sustains humidity above 70% and suppresses radiative cooling under light winds. This synoptic pattern, combined with expected scattered showers or increased cloud cover, favors heat retention and positions the 28°C outcome as the market leader at 59% implied probability, ahead of 27°C at 26%. Historical early-August climatology shows typical lows around 26°C, but current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly with limited model spread; clearer skies or stronger onshore flow could shift readings slightly lower ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,592End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate an overnight low near 28°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by the persistent western Pacific subtropical high that sustains humidity above 70% and suppresses radiative cooling under light winds. This synoptic pattern, combined with expected scattered showers or increased cloud cover, favors heat retention and positions the 28°C outcome as the market leader at 59% implied probability, ahead of 27°C at 26%. Historical early-August climatology shows typical lows around 26°C, but current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly with limited model spread; clearer skies or stronger onshore flow could shift readings slightly lower ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,592End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate an overnight low near 28°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by the persistent western Pacific subtropical high that sustains humidity above 70% and suppresses radiative cooling under light winds. This synoptic pattern, combined with expected scattered showers or increased cloud cover, favors heat retention and positions the 28°C outcome as the market leader at 59% implied probability, ahead of 27°C at 26%. Historical early-August climatology shows typical lows around 26°C, but current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly with limited model spread; clearer skies or stronger onshore flow could shift readings slightly lower ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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