Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance positions a maximum of 31–32°C as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 8, 2026, under largely sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that supports strong daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 63.5% implied probability for 31°C and 24.5% for 32°C. Early August climatology shows average highs near 25–26°C, so current conditions represent a modest warm anomaly following July heatwave dissipation, though not extreme enough for 33°C or higher. Stable high-pressure influence and limited moisture advection keep lower outcomes below 30°C improbable. Final station readings from Paris-Montsouris or similar official sites will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 8?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 8?
31°C 64%
32°C 25%
30°C 15%
33°C <1%
NEW
$44,426 Vol.
NEW
$44,426 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
15%
31°C
64%
32°C
25%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 64%
32°C 25%
30°C 15%
33°C <1%
NEW
$44,426 Vol.
NEW
$44,426 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
$880 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,042 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,676 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,578 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,082 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$8,459 Vol.
15%
31°C
$5,264 Vol.
64%
32°C
$7,956 Vol.
25%
33°C
$3,763 Vol.
1%
34°C
$4,582 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,146 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance positions a maximum of 31–32°C as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 8, 2026, under largely sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that supports strong daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 63.5% implied probability for 31°C and 24.5% for 32°C. Early August climatology shows average highs near 25–26°C, so current conditions represent a modest warm anomaly following July heatwave dissipation, though not extreme enough for 33°C or higher. Stable high-pressure influence and limited moisture advection keep lower outcomes below 30°C improbable. Final station readings from Paris-Montsouris or similar official sites will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$44,426End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance positions a maximum of 31–32°C as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 8, 2026, under largely sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that supports strong daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 63.5% implied probability for 31°C and 24.5% for 32°C. Early August climatology shows average highs near 25–26°C, so current conditions represent a modest warm anomaly following July heatwave dissipation, though not extreme enough for 33°C or higher. Stable high-pressure influence and limited moisture advection keep lower outcomes below 30°C improbable. Final station readings from Paris-Montsouris or similar official sites will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,426End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance positions a maximum of 31–32°C as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 8, 2026, under largely sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that supports strong daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 63.5% implied probability for 31°C and 24.5% for 32°C. Early August climatology shows average highs near 25–26°C, so current conditions represent a modest warm anomaly following July heatwave dissipation, though not extreme enough for 33°C or higher. Stable high-pressure influence and limited moisture advection keep lower outcomes below 30°C improbable. Final station readings from Paris-Montsouris or similar official sites will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions