Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models highlight clear skies and light northeasterly winds promoting radiative cooling overnight, positioning the day's minimum near 13–14°C as the consensus outcome. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns where high pressure suppresses cloud cover and allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, though model spread remains modest around this range. Traders appear to weigh historical August lows averaging 15°C against the current stable anticyclonic setup, with limited upside risk from warmer advection. Official station data from Paris-Orly or Montsouris will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 8?
14°C 75%
13°C 30%
12°C 4%
11°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
30%
14°C
63%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
14°C 75%
13°C 30%
12°C 4%
11°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
11°C or below
$289 Vol.
1%
12°C
$219 Vol.
4%
13°C
$701 Vol.
30%
14°C
$1,235 Vol.
63%
15°C
$1,887 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$938 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$619 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$830 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$695 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$91 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models highlight clear skies and light northeasterly winds promoting radiative cooling overnight, positioning the day's minimum near 13–14°C as the consensus outcome. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns where high pressure suppresses cloud cover and allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, though model spread remains modest around this range. Traders appear to weigh historical August lows averaging 15°C against the current stable anticyclonic setup, with limited upside risk from warmer advection. Official station data from Paris-Orly or Montsouris will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$7,582End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models highlight clear skies and light northeasterly winds promoting radiative cooling overnight, positioning the day's minimum near 13–14°C as the consensus outcome. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns where high pressure suppresses cloud cover and allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, though model spread remains modest around this range. Traders appear to weigh historical August lows averaging 15°C against the current stable anticyclonic setup, with limited upside risk from warmer advection. Official station data from Paris-Orly or Montsouris will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,582End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models highlight clear skies and light northeasterly winds promoting radiative cooling overnight, positioning the day's minimum near 13–14°C as the consensus outcome. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns where high pressure suppresses cloud cover and allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, though model spread remains modest around this range. Traders appear to weigh historical August lows averaging 15°C against the current stable anticyclonic setup, with limited upside risk from warmer advection. Official station data from Paris-Orly or Montsouris will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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