Warm, humid conditions from a persistent tropical air mass kept overnight lows elevated across New York City on August 7, 2026, supporting the market's strong consensus around a 74–75°F minimum. High dew points near 75°F combined with light winds and cloud cover suppressed radiational cooling, preventing temperatures from dropping further despite typical August averages near 70°F. National Weather Service observations and regional model runs aligned with this outcome under ongoing heat-advisory conditions, with no cold front or drier air intrusion to alter the pattern. Traders priced in the limited variability from these atmospheric factors, though an unexpected shift in steering winds or clearer skies overnight could have allowed modest additional cooling below the observed range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on August 7?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 7?
74-75°F 96.8%
72-73°F 2.7%
70-71°F 2.0%
65°F or below <1%
$34,247 Vol.
$34,247 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
97%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 96.8%
72-73°F 2.7%
70-71°F 2.0%
65°F or below <1%
$34,247 Vol.
$34,247 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
65°F or below
$974 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,007 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$3,544 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$3,389 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$1,490 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$2,367 Vol.
97%
76-77°F
$2,732 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$6,955 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$7,253 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$4,294 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$242 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warm, humid conditions from a persistent tropical air mass kept overnight lows elevated across New York City on August 7, 2026, supporting the market's strong consensus around a 74–75°F minimum. High dew points near 75°F combined with light winds and cloud cover suppressed radiational cooling, preventing temperatures from dropping further despite typical August averages near 70°F. National Weather Service observations and regional model runs aligned with this outcome under ongoing heat-advisory conditions, with no cold front or drier air intrusion to alter the pattern. Traders priced in the limited variability from these atmospheric factors, though an unexpected shift in steering winds or clearer skies overnight could have allowed modest additional cooling below the observed range.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$34,247End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warm, humid conditions from a persistent tropical air mass kept overnight lows elevated across New York City on August 7, 2026, supporting the market's strong consensus around a 74–75°F minimum. High dew points near 75°F combined with light winds and cloud cover suppressed radiational cooling, preventing temperatures from dropping further despite typical August averages near 70°F. National Weather Service observations and regional model runs aligned with this outcome under ongoing heat-advisory conditions, with no cold front or drier air intrusion to alter the pattern. Traders priced in the limited variability from these atmospheric factors, though an unexpected shift in steering winds or clearer skies overnight could have allowed modest additional cooling below the observed range.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,247End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Warm, humid conditions from a persistent tropical air mass kept overnight lows elevated across New York City on August 7, 2026, supporting the market's strong consensus around a 74–75°F minimum. High dew points near 75°F combined with light winds and cloud cover suppressed radiational cooling, preventing temperatures from dropping further despite typical August averages near 70°F. National Weather Service observations and regional model runs aligned with this outcome under ongoing heat-advisory conditions, with no cold front or drier air intrusion to alter the pattern. Traders priced in the limited variability from these atmospheric factors, though an unexpected shift in steering winds or clearer skies overnight could have allowed modest additional cooling below the observed range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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