Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts point to mainly fine and very hot conditions on August 8, 2026, with a daily maximum near 34–35 °C under weak west-to-southwesterly flow, moderate humidity, and sufficient solar insolation to drive boundary-layer warming. These factors, combined with the urban heat-island effect over the densely built Kowloon and Hong Kong Island districts, position 34 °C and 35 °C as the market’s leading outcomes. Seasonal outlooks already indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the month, while late-summer sea-surface temperatures sustain high heat content. Minor probability mass on 36 °C or 33 °C reflects residual uncertainty around cloud cover, any late convective showers, or precise verification timing at the official observatory station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
34°C 50%
35°C 41%
36°C 8%
33°C 3%
NEW
$67,634 Vol.
NEW
$67,634 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
50%
35°C
41%
36°C
8%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 50%
35°C 41%
36°C 8%
33°C 3%
NEW
$67,634 Vol.
NEW
$67,634 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
$3,439 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,613 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$10,234 Vol.
3%
34°C
$9,669 Vol.
50%
35°C
$9,200 Vol.
41%
36°C
$8,211 Vol.
8%
37°C
$13,444 Vol.
2%
38°C
$3,922 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$2,177 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$962 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$762 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts point to mainly fine and very hot conditions on August 8, 2026, with a daily maximum near 34–35 °C under weak west-to-southwesterly flow, moderate humidity, and sufficient solar insolation to drive boundary-layer warming. These factors, combined with the urban heat-island effect over the densely built Kowloon and Hong Kong Island districts, position 34 °C and 35 °C as the market’s leading outcomes. Seasonal outlooks already indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the month, while late-summer sea-surface temperatures sustain high heat content. Minor probability mass on 36 °C or 33 °C reflects residual uncertainty around cloud cover, any late convective showers, or precise verification timing at the official observatory station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$67,634End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts point to mainly fine and very hot conditions on August 8, 2026, with a daily maximum near 34–35 °C under weak west-to-southwesterly flow, moderate humidity, and sufficient solar insolation to drive boundary-layer warming. These factors, combined with the urban heat-island effect over the densely built Kowloon and Hong Kong Island districts, position 34 °C and 35 °C as the market’s leading outcomes. Seasonal outlooks already indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the month, while late-summer sea-surface temperatures sustain high heat content. Minor probability mass on 36 °C or 33 °C reflects residual uncertainty around cloud cover, any late convective showers, or precise verification timing at the official observatory station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$67,634End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts point to mainly fine and very hot conditions on August 8, 2026, with a daily maximum near 34–35 °C under weak west-to-southwesterly flow, moderate humidity, and sufficient solar insolation to drive boundary-layer warming. These factors, combined with the urban heat-island effect over the densely built Kowloon and Hong Kong Island districts, position 34 °C and 35 °C as the market’s leading outcomes. Seasonal outlooks already indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the month, while late-summer sea-surface temperatures sustain high heat content. Minor probability mass on 36 °C or 33 °C reflects residual uncertainty around cloud cover, any late convective showers, or precise verification timing at the official observatory station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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