Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily high near 33°C in Shanghai on August 8, 2026, with scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover moderating peak values. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and southeasterly flow, typically support afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, consistent with August climatology showing average highs of 31–34°C. Updated model consensus points to limited insolation from convective activity, reducing the likelihood of reaching 35°C or higher thresholds. Trader positioning at 89% implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects this alignment between official guidance and historical August patterns, while lower odds on adjacent outcomes capture remaining uncertainty in storm timing and intensity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 8?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 8?
33°C 91%
34°C 9%
35°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
NEW
$115,091 Vol.
NEW
$115,091 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
91%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 91%
34°C 9%
35°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
NEW
$115,091 Vol.
NEW
$115,091 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
27°C or below
$2,684 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,283 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,919 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$12,366 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$13,433 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$29,225 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$18,043 Vol.
91%
34°C
$15,750 Vol.
9%
35°C
$6,513 Vol.
1%
36°C
$2,737 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$2,138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily high near 33°C in Shanghai on August 8, 2026, with scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover moderating peak values. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and southeasterly flow, typically support afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, consistent with August climatology showing average highs of 31–34°C. Updated model consensus points to limited insolation from convective activity, reducing the likelihood of reaching 35°C or higher thresholds. Trader positioning at 89% implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects this alignment between official guidance and historical August patterns, while lower odds on adjacent outcomes capture remaining uncertainty in storm timing and intensity.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$115,091End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily high near 33°C in Shanghai on August 8, 2026, with scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover moderating peak values. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and southeasterly flow, typically support afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, consistent with August climatology showing average highs of 31–34°C. Updated model consensus points to limited insolation from convective activity, reducing the likelihood of reaching 35°C or higher thresholds. Trader positioning at 89% implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects this alignment between official guidance and historical August patterns, while lower odds on adjacent outcomes capture remaining uncertainty in storm timing and intensity.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$115,091End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily high near 33°C in Shanghai on August 8, 2026, with scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover moderating peak values. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and southeasterly flow, typically support afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, consistent with August climatology showing average highs of 31–34°C. Updated model consensus points to limited insolation from convective activity, reducing the likelihood of reaching 35°C or higher thresholds. Trader positioning at 89% implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects this alignment between official guidance and historical August patterns, while lower odds on adjacent outcomes capture remaining uncertainty in storm timing and intensity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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