Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 9 will likely settle near 26–27°C, reflecting the city's typical subtropical summer pattern of high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling under a warm, moist air mass. Persistent southerly flow and possible scattered thunderstorms or overcast skies—common in August—further moderate temperature drops, aligning with historical baselines where average August lows hover around 26°C. Trader consensus, with 27°C leading at over 50% implied probability, incorporates these conditions while acknowledging minor model spread or urban heat effects that could nudge the minimum slightly higher or lower. No significant frontal systems or atypical cooling are anticipated before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 9?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 9?
27°C 51%
26°C 28%
28°C 12%
25°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
11%
26°C
28%
27°C
51%
28°C
12%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
26°C 28%
28°C 12%
25°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
22°C or below
$3,679 Vol.
1%
23°C
$550 Vol.
1%
24°C
$234 Vol.
5%
25°C
$357 Vol.
11%
26°C
$604 Vol.
28%
27°C
$909 Vol.
51%
28°C
$1,150 Vol.
12%
29°C
$312 Vol.
4%
30°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$187 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$418 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 9 will likely settle near 26–27°C, reflecting the city's typical subtropical summer pattern of high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling under a warm, moist air mass. Persistent southerly flow and possible scattered thunderstorms or overcast skies—common in August—further moderate temperature drops, aligning with historical baselines where average August lows hover around 26°C. Trader consensus, with 27°C leading at over 50% implied probability, incorporates these conditions while acknowledging minor model spread or urban heat effects that could nudge the minimum slightly higher or lower. No significant frontal systems or atypical cooling are anticipated before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$8,692End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 9 will likely settle near 26–27°C, reflecting the city's typical subtropical summer pattern of high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling under a warm, moist air mass. Persistent southerly flow and possible scattered thunderstorms or overcast skies—common in August—further moderate temperature drops, aligning with historical baselines where average August lows hover around 26°C. Trader consensus, with 27°C leading at over 50% implied probability, incorporates these conditions while acknowledging minor model spread or urban heat effects that could nudge the minimum slightly higher or lower. No significant frontal systems or atypical cooling are anticipated before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,692End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 9 will likely settle near 26–27°C, reflecting the city's typical subtropical summer pattern of high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling under a warm, moist air mass. Persistent southerly flow and possible scattered thunderstorms or overcast skies—common in August—further moderate temperature drops, aligning with historical baselines where average August lows hover around 26°C. Trader consensus, with 27°C leading at over 50% implied probability, incorporates these conditions while acknowledging minor model spread or urban heat effects that could nudge the minimum slightly higher or lower. No significant frontal systems or atypical cooling are anticipated before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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