Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a highest temperature on August 10 most likely in the 35–36°C range, driven by descending air on the northern flank of an approaching or nearby tropical system that promotes clearer skies and subsidence warming. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and local agencies shows daytime maxima climbing after earlier showers, though scattered thunderstorms or increased cloud cover could cap peaks near 33–34°C. Key variables include steering patterns of any tropical cyclone (which can enhance or suppress local heating), monsoon trough moisture, and urban heat-island amplification in the densely built city. Historical August averages hover around 32–33°C, with occasional spikes above 36°C under similar high-pressure setups; rapid changes in precipitation timing or wind shifts introduce the observed market spread across 33–37°C outcomes. Updated NHC and CMA guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 10?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 10?
36°C 31%
35°C 19%
32°C 17%
34°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
17%
33°C
11%
34°C
15%
35°C
19%
36°C
31%
37°C
12%
38°C
7%
39°C or higher
10%
36°C 31%
35°C 19%
32°C 17%
34°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
29°C or below
$12 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$12 Vol.
4%
32°C
$22 Vol.
17%
33°C
$0 Vol.
11%
34°C
$0 Vol.
15%
35°C
$0 Vol.
19%
36°C
$0 Vol.
31%
37°C
$0 Vol.
12%
38°C
$0 Vol.
7%
39°C or higher
$13 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a highest temperature on August 10 most likely in the 35–36°C range, driven by descending air on the northern flank of an approaching or nearby tropical system that promotes clearer skies and subsidence warming. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and local agencies shows daytime maxima climbing after earlier showers, though scattered thunderstorms or increased cloud cover could cap peaks near 33–34°C. Key variables include steering patterns of any tropical cyclone (which can enhance or suppress local heating), monsoon trough moisture, and urban heat-island amplification in the densely built city. Historical August averages hover around 32–33°C, with occasional spikes above 36°C under similar high-pressure setups; rapid changes in precipitation timing or wind shifts introduce the observed market spread across 33–37°C outcomes. Updated NHC and CMA guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$59End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a highest temperature on August 10 most likely in the 35–36°C range, driven by descending air on the northern flank of an approaching or nearby tropical system that promotes clearer skies and subsidence warming. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and local agencies shows daytime maxima climbing after earlier showers, though scattered thunderstorms or increased cloud cover could cap peaks near 33–34°C. Key variables include steering patterns of any tropical cyclone (which can enhance or suppress local heating), monsoon trough moisture, and urban heat-island amplification in the densely built city. Historical August averages hover around 32–33°C, with occasional spikes above 36°C under similar high-pressure setups; rapid changes in precipitation timing or wind shifts introduce the observed market spread across 33–37°C outcomes. Updated NHC and CMA guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$59End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a highest temperature on August 10 most likely in the 35–36°C range, driven by descending air on the northern flank of an approaching or nearby tropical system that promotes clearer skies and subsidence warming. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and local agencies shows daytime maxima climbing after earlier showers, though scattered thunderstorms or increased cloud cover could cap peaks near 33–34°C. Key variables include steering patterns of any tropical cyclone (which can enhance or suppress local heating), monsoon trough moisture, and urban heat-island amplification in the densely built city. Historical August averages hover around 32–33°C, with occasional spikes above 36°C under similar high-pressure setups; rapid changes in precipitation timing or wind shifts introduce the observed market spread across 33–37°C outcomes. Updated NHC and CMA guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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