**Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8, 2026, reflecting current forecast guidance and typical early-August climatology.** Official Hong Kong Observatory outlooks and multi-model consensus project overnight lows of 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical warmth, high humidity, and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with seasonal norms of 26–28°C minimums when daytime highs reach 31–34°C. Above-normal temperature probabilities for August–October further reinforce this positioning, as no significant cold advection or monsoon surge appears imminent. Realistic challenges would require an unforecasted sharp drop in dew points or heavy localized rain enhancing radiative cooling, though model agreement and the absence of such signals in recent updates make substantial downward revisions improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
28°C 97%
26°C 1.3%
27°C 1.0%
25°C <1%
NEW
$74,708 Vol.
NEW
$74,708 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
97%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 97%
26°C 1.3%
27°C 1.0%
25°C <1%
NEW
$74,708 Vol.
NEW
$74,708 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
$598 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,214 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,960 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,470 Vol.
1%
26°C
$3,502 Vol.
1%
27°C
$11,782 Vol.
1%
28°C
$21,280 Vol.
97%
29°C
$19,959 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,364 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$938 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$641 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8, 2026, reflecting current forecast guidance and typical early-August climatology.** Official Hong Kong Observatory outlooks and multi-model consensus project overnight lows of 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical warmth, high humidity, and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with seasonal norms of 26–28°C minimums when daytime highs reach 31–34°C. Above-normal temperature probabilities for August–October further reinforce this positioning, as no significant cold advection or monsoon surge appears imminent. Realistic challenges would require an unforecasted sharp drop in dew points or heavy localized rain enhancing radiative cooling, though model agreement and the absence of such signals in recent updates make substantial downward revisions improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$74,708End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8, 2026, reflecting current forecast guidance and typical early-August climatology.** Official Hong Kong Observatory outlooks and multi-model consensus project overnight lows of 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical warmth, high humidity, and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with seasonal norms of 26–28°C minimums when daytime highs reach 31–34°C. Above-normal temperature probabilities for August–October further reinforce this positioning, as no significant cold advection or monsoon surge appears imminent. Realistic challenges would require an unforecasted sharp drop in dew points or heavy localized rain enhancing radiative cooling, though model agreement and the absence of such signals in recent updates make substantial downward revisions improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$74,708End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8, 2026, reflecting current forecast guidance and typical early-August climatology.** Official Hong Kong Observatory outlooks and multi-model consensus project overnight lows of 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical warmth, high humidity, and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with seasonal norms of 26–28°C minimums when daytime highs reach 31–34°C. Above-normal temperature probabilities for August–October further reinforce this positioning, as no significant cold advection or monsoon surge appears imminent. Realistic challenges would require an unforecasted sharp drop in dew points or heavy localized rain enhancing radiative cooling, though model agreement and the absence of such signals in recent updates make substantial downward revisions improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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