Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations established a minimum temperature near 27°C for August 7, 2026, under stable summer conditions with weak steering winds, moderate humidity, and limited overnight cooling over the urban heat island. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August, where overnight lows typically range 26–28°C absent tropical systems or strong cold advection. Numerical weather models showed tight consensus around this value, reinforcing trader confidence and the 99.9% market-implied probability for the 27°C outcome. An unexpected convective event or rapid frontal passage could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such developments remain improbable given current atmospheric patterns and verification timelines from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
27°C 99.9%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,629 Vol.
$57,629 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.9%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,629 Vol.
$57,629 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
21°C or below
$537 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$561 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$791 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,334 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,785 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$9,360 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$16,280 Vol.
100%
28°C
$12,737 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,889 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,618 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$737 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations established a minimum temperature near 27°C for August 7, 2026, under stable summer conditions with weak steering winds, moderate humidity, and limited overnight cooling over the urban heat island. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August, where overnight lows typically range 26–28°C absent tropical systems or strong cold advection. Numerical weather models showed tight consensus around this value, reinforcing trader confidence and the 99.9% market-implied probability for the 27°C outcome. An unexpected convective event or rapid frontal passage could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such developments remain improbable given current atmospheric patterns and verification timelines from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$57,629End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations established a minimum temperature near 27°C for August 7, 2026, under stable summer conditions with weak steering winds, moderate humidity, and limited overnight cooling over the urban heat island. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August, where overnight lows typically range 26–28°C absent tropical systems or strong cold advection. Numerical weather models showed tight consensus around this value, reinforcing trader confidence and the 99.9% market-implied probability for the 27°C outcome. An unexpected convective event or rapid frontal passage could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such developments remain improbable given current atmospheric patterns and verification timelines from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$57,629End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations established a minimum temperature near 27°C for August 7, 2026, under stable summer conditions with weak steering winds, moderate humidity, and limited overnight cooling over the urban heat island. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August, where overnight lows typically range 26–28°C absent tropical systems or strong cold advection. Numerical weather models showed tight consensus around this value, reinforcing trader confidence and the 99.9% market-implied probability for the 27°C outcome. An unexpected convective event or rapid frontal passage could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such developments remain improbable given current atmospheric patterns and verification timelines from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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