Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 9 project a daily minimum of 29°C under mainly fine conditions with isolated showers possible later, west to northwest winds, and extremely hot daytime maxima near 36°C. This aligns with the market’s leading 29°C outcome, as traders weigh the agency’s latest model guidance against typical August climatology of 26–28°C overnight lows. Recent seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October amid ongoing regional warming trends, while short-term uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and shower timing that could modestly alter radiative cooling rates. No major synoptic features such as tropical cyclones are currently influencing the region, keeping model consensus relatively tight around the 29°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
29°C 65%
28°C 25%
30°C 9%
27°C 4%
NEW
$13,080 Vol.
NEW
$13,080 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
25%
29°C
65%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 65%
28°C 25%
30°C 9%
27°C 4%
NEW
$13,080 Vol.
NEW
$13,080 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
$1,077 Vol.
1%
25°C
$717 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,422 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,082 Vol.
4%
28°C
$1,541 Vol.
25%
29°C
$2,265 Vol.
65%
30°C
$1,174 Vol.
9%
31°C
$1,559 Vol.
1%
32°C
$963 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$752 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$526 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 9 project a daily minimum of 29°C under mainly fine conditions with isolated showers possible later, west to northwest winds, and extremely hot daytime maxima near 36°C. This aligns with the market’s leading 29°C outcome, as traders weigh the agency’s latest model guidance against typical August climatology of 26–28°C overnight lows. Recent seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October amid ongoing regional warming trends, while short-term uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and shower timing that could modestly alter radiative cooling rates. No major synoptic features such as tropical cyclones are currently influencing the region, keeping model consensus relatively tight around the 29°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$13,080End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 9 project a daily minimum of 29°C under mainly fine conditions with isolated showers possible later, west to northwest winds, and extremely hot daytime maxima near 36°C. This aligns with the market’s leading 29°C outcome, as traders weigh the agency’s latest model guidance against typical August climatology of 26–28°C overnight lows. Recent seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October amid ongoing regional warming trends, while short-term uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and shower timing that could modestly alter radiative cooling rates. No major synoptic features such as tropical cyclones are currently influencing the region, keeping model consensus relatively tight around the 29°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,080End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 9 project a daily minimum of 29°C under mainly fine conditions with isolated showers possible later, west to northwest winds, and extremely hot daytime maxima near 36°C. This aligns with the market’s leading 29°C outcome, as traders weigh the agency’s latest model guidance against typical August climatology of 26–28°C overnight lows. Recent seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October amid ongoing regional warming trends, while short-term uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and shower timing that could modestly alter radiative cooling rates. No major synoptic features such as tropical cyclones are currently influencing the region, keeping model consensus relatively tight around the 29°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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