Traders see 34–35 °C as the most probable peak for Chengdu on August 9 because official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and local agencies currently cluster near 34–35 °C amid a humid subtropical pattern. Afternoon thundershowers and variable cloud cover typical of the Sichuan basin can suppress or briefly allow surface heating, creating the narrow spread between 34 °C and 36 °C outcomes. High dew points near 25 °C limit diurnal rise once convection initiates, while basin topography retains overnight warmth that elevates baseline temperatures. Model runs differ on exact timing and coverage of storms, keeping the market tight until the final observational update resolves the day’s maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 9?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 9?
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 18%
33°C 13%
NEW
$10,026 Vol.
NEW
$10,026 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
13%
34°C
30%
35°C
35%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
4%
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 18%
33°C 13%
NEW
$10,026 Vol.
NEW
$10,026 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
$675 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$368 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$74 Vol.
1%
31°C
$534 Vol.
1%
32°C
$253 Vol.
4%
33°C
$237 Vol.
13%
34°C
$1,276 Vol.
30%
35°C
$1,340 Vol.
35%
36°C
$938 Vol.
18%
37°C or higher
$4,057 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 34–35 °C as the most probable peak for Chengdu on August 9 because official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and local agencies currently cluster near 34–35 °C amid a humid subtropical pattern. Afternoon thundershowers and variable cloud cover typical of the Sichuan basin can suppress or briefly allow surface heating, creating the narrow spread between 34 °C and 36 °C outcomes. High dew points near 25 °C limit diurnal rise once convection initiates, while basin topography retains overnight warmth that elevates baseline temperatures. Model runs differ on exact timing and coverage of storms, keeping the market tight until the final observational update resolves the day’s maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$10,026End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 34–35 °C as the most probable peak for Chengdu on August 9 because official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and local agencies currently cluster near 34–35 °C amid a humid subtropical pattern. Afternoon thundershowers and variable cloud cover typical of the Sichuan basin can suppress or briefly allow surface heating, creating the narrow spread between 34 °C and 36 °C outcomes. High dew points near 25 °C limit diurnal rise once convection initiates, while basin topography retains overnight warmth that elevates baseline temperatures. Model runs differ on exact timing and coverage of storms, keeping the market tight until the final observational update resolves the day’s maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,026End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 34–35 °C as the most probable peak for Chengdu on August 9 because official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and local agencies currently cluster near 34–35 °C amid a humid subtropical pattern. Afternoon thundershowers and variable cloud cover typical of the Sichuan basin can suppress or briefly allow surface heating, creating the narrow spread between 34 °C and 36 °C outcomes. High dew points near 25 °C limit diurnal rise once convection initiates, while basin topography retains overnight warmth that elevates baseline temperatures. Model runs differ on exact timing and coverage of storms, keeping the market tight until the final observational update resolves the day’s maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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