Current forecast models from agencies tracking the Sichuan Basin indicate a peak temperature near 33–35°C for Chengdu on August 8, driven by typical early-August subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating. Historical climatology places average August highs at 30–32°C, with occasional spikes above 34°C under clear or urban-heat-influenced skies; recent model runs show consistency around 31–33°C with only modest convective cooling from scattered showers. Trader consensus at 34°C (44.5%) and 35°C (28%) reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of official daily maximum verification, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent unusual atmospheric blocking or rapid intensification. Updated observations and model refinements through the afternoon will likely tighten these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 8?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 8?
34°C 43%
35°C 29%
33°C 29%
36°C or higher 5.3%
$38,217 Vol.
$38,217 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
29%
34°C
36%
35°C
29%
36°C or higher
5%
34°C 43%
35°C 29%
33°C 29%
36°C or higher 5.3%
$38,217 Vol.
$38,217 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
$637 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,291 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,238 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,970 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,118 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,214 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,033 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,416 Vol.
29%
34°C
$4,789 Vol.
36%
35°C
$4,018 Vol.
29%
36°C or higher
$8,374 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies tracking the Sichuan Basin indicate a peak temperature near 33–35°C for Chengdu on August 8, driven by typical early-August subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating. Historical climatology places average August highs at 30–32°C, with occasional spikes above 34°C under clear or urban-heat-influenced skies; recent model runs show consistency around 31–33°C with only modest convective cooling from scattered showers. Trader consensus at 34°C (44.5%) and 35°C (28%) reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of official daily maximum verification, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent unusual atmospheric blocking or rapid intensification. Updated observations and model refinements through the afternoon will likely tighten these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$38,217End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies tracking the Sichuan Basin indicate a peak temperature near 33–35°C for Chengdu on August 8, driven by typical early-August subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating. Historical climatology places average August highs at 30–32°C, with occasional spikes above 34°C under clear or urban-heat-influenced skies; recent model runs show consistency around 31–33°C with only modest convective cooling from scattered showers. Trader consensus at 34°C (44.5%) and 35°C (28%) reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of official daily maximum verification, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent unusual atmospheric blocking or rapid intensification. Updated observations and model refinements through the afternoon will likely tighten these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,217End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies tracking the Sichuan Basin indicate a peak temperature near 33–35°C for Chengdu on August 8, driven by typical early-August subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating. Historical climatology places average August highs at 30–32°C, with occasional spikes above 34°C under clear or urban-heat-influenced skies; recent model runs show consistency around 31–33°C with only modest convective cooling from scattered showers. Trader consensus at 34°C (44.5%) and 35°C (28%) reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of official daily maximum verification, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent unusual atmospheric blocking or rapid intensification. Updated observations and model refinements through the afternoon will likely tighten these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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