Forecasts from regional meteorological services and global models indicate a daily maximum near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9 amid strengthened subtropical high pressure and subsidence on the periphery of Typhoon Dolphin, suppressing cloud cover and rainfall while enhancing urban heat island effects. This setup aligns with climatological August peaks of 33–35°C that occasionally reach 37–38°C under similar synoptic patterns, producing the current market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 37–38°C outcomes. Limited model spread and recent upward revisions in guidance support the leading 38°C share, though any shift in the typhoon track could introduce more moisture and temper highs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 9?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 9?
38°C 55%
37°C 24%
39°C 17%
40°C 5%
NEW
$15,457 Vol.
NEW
$15,457 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
4%
37°C
24%
38°C
55%
39°C
17%
40°C
5%
41°C or higher
<1%
38°C 55%
37°C 24%
39°C 17%
40°C 5%
NEW
$15,457 Vol.
NEW
$15,457 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
$549 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$497 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$861 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$981 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,133 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,157 Vol.
4%
37°C
$1,426 Vol.
24%
38°C
$3,485 Vol.
55%
39°C
$1,509 Vol.
17%
40°C
$1,258 Vol.
5%
41°C or higher
$2,606 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from regional meteorological services and global models indicate a daily maximum near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9 amid strengthened subtropical high pressure and subsidence on the periphery of Typhoon Dolphin, suppressing cloud cover and rainfall while enhancing urban heat island effects. This setup aligns with climatological August peaks of 33–35°C that occasionally reach 37–38°C under similar synoptic patterns, producing the current market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 37–38°C outcomes. Limited model spread and recent upward revisions in guidance support the leading 38°C share, though any shift in the typhoon track could introduce more moisture and temper highs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$15,457End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from regional meteorological services and global models indicate a daily maximum near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9 amid strengthened subtropical high pressure and subsidence on the periphery of Typhoon Dolphin, suppressing cloud cover and rainfall while enhancing urban heat island effects. This setup aligns with climatological August peaks of 33–35°C that occasionally reach 37–38°C under similar synoptic patterns, producing the current market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 37–38°C outcomes. Limited model spread and recent upward revisions in guidance support the leading 38°C share, though any shift in the typhoon track could introduce more moisture and temper highs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,457End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from regional meteorological services and global models indicate a daily maximum near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9 amid strengthened subtropical high pressure and subsidence on the periphery of Typhoon Dolphin, suppressing cloud cover and rainfall while enhancing urban heat island effects. This setup aligns with climatological August peaks of 33–35°C that occasionally reach 37–38°C under similar synoptic patterns, producing the current market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 37–38°C outcomes. Limited model spread and recent upward revisions in guidance support the leading 38°C share, though any shift in the typhoon track could introduce more moisture and temper highs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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