Persistent warm subtropical air mass and stable high-pressure conditions are positioning Tel Aviv for a daily maximum near or slightly above the mid-August climatological average of ~31°C on August 13. Recent guidance from AccuWeather, timeanddate, and global models (GFS/ECMWF) clusters around 32–34°C under clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover, with elevated Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures limiting nocturnal cooling and sustaining daytime heat retention. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (56.5%) and 34°C (34.5%) reflects trader consensus on these forecast values plus potential urban heat-island effects at official stations. No significant model shifts or cooling fronts are indicated in the next 48 hours, keeping resolution thresholds tightly aligned with current observational trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 13?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 13?
33°C 56%
34°C 34%
32°C 7%
35°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
56%
34°C
34%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
34°C 34%
32°C 7%
35°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$460 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$146 Vol.
1%
32°C
$119 Vol.
7%
33°C
$520 Vol.
56%
34°C
$202 Vol.
34%
35°C
$138 Vol.
5%
36°C
$293 Vol.
1%
37°C
$229 Vol.
1%
38°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$354 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm subtropical air mass and stable high-pressure conditions are positioning Tel Aviv for a daily maximum near or slightly above the mid-August climatological average of ~31°C on August 13. Recent guidance from AccuWeather, timeanddate, and global models (GFS/ECMWF) clusters around 32–34°C under clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover, with elevated Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures limiting nocturnal cooling and sustaining daytime heat retention. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (56.5%) and 34°C (34.5%) reflects trader consensus on these forecast values plus potential urban heat-island effects at official stations. No significant model shifts or cooling fronts are indicated in the next 48 hours, keeping resolution thresholds tightly aligned with current observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,805End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm subtropical air mass and stable high-pressure conditions are positioning Tel Aviv for a daily maximum near or slightly above the mid-August climatological average of ~31°C on August 13. Recent guidance from AccuWeather, timeanddate, and global models (GFS/ECMWF) clusters around 32–34°C under clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover, with elevated Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures limiting nocturnal cooling and sustaining daytime heat retention. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (56.5%) and 34°C (34.5%) reflects trader consensus on these forecast values plus potential urban heat-island effects at official stations. No significant model shifts or cooling fronts are indicated in the next 48 hours, keeping resolution thresholds tightly aligned with current observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,805End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm subtropical air mass and stable high-pressure conditions are positioning Tel Aviv for a daily maximum near or slightly above the mid-August climatological average of ~31°C on August 13. Recent guidance from AccuWeather, timeanddate, and global models (GFS/ECMWF) clusters around 32–34°C under clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover, with elevated Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures limiting nocturnal cooling and sustaining daytime heat retention. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (56.5%) and 34°C (34.5%) reflects trader consensus on these forecast values plus potential urban heat-island effects at official stations. No significant model shifts or cooling fronts are indicated in the next 48 hours, keeping resolution thresholds tightly aligned with current observational trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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