**Short-term forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate highs of 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 12 under sunny, dry conditions with light westerly winds.** This aligns with peak summer climatology for the coastal plain, where strong solar insolation under subtropical high pressure drives daytime warming, moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes that typically cap extremes below inland values. A late-July to early-August heat wave pushed central Israel temperatures higher before easing, leaving current guidance stable without significant model divergence or incoming disturbances. Trader consensus on 34–35°C outcomes reflects this narrow forecast range plus minor uncertainty in exact peak timing and local measurement, with lower probabilities for outliers given the absence of extreme heat indices or synoptic changes through the period. Updated model runs and IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will be key for any shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 12?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 12?
35°C 52%
34°C 37%
33°C 9%
36°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
32°C or below
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
37%
35°C
52%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
35°C 52%
34°C 37%
33°C 9%
36°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
32°C or below
$33 Vol.
2%
33°C
$121 Vol.
9%
34°C
$46 Vol.
37%
35°C
$148 Vol.
52%
36°C
$15 Vol.
7%
37°C
$22 Vol.
3%
38°C
$5 Vol.
3%
39°C
$5 Vol.
2%
40°C
$12 Vol.
2%
41°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate highs of 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 12 under sunny, dry conditions with light westerly winds.** This aligns with peak summer climatology for the coastal plain, where strong solar insolation under subtropical high pressure drives daytime warming, moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes that typically cap extremes below inland values. A late-July to early-August heat wave pushed central Israel temperatures higher before easing, leaving current guidance stable without significant model divergence or incoming disturbances. Trader consensus on 34–35°C outcomes reflects this narrow forecast range plus minor uncertainty in exact peak timing and local measurement, with lower probabilities for outliers given the absence of extreme heat indices or synoptic changes through the period. Updated model runs and IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will be key for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$425End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate highs of 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 12 under sunny, dry conditions with light westerly winds.** This aligns with peak summer climatology for the coastal plain, where strong solar insolation under subtropical high pressure drives daytime warming, moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes that typically cap extremes below inland values. A late-July to early-August heat wave pushed central Israel temperatures higher before easing, leaving current guidance stable without significant model divergence or incoming disturbances. Trader consensus on 34–35°C outcomes reflects this narrow forecast range plus minor uncertainty in exact peak timing and local measurement, with lower probabilities for outliers given the absence of extreme heat indices or synoptic changes through the period. Updated model runs and IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will be key for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$425End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate highs of 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 12 under sunny, dry conditions with light westerly winds.** This aligns with peak summer climatology for the coastal plain, where strong solar insolation under subtropical high pressure drives daytime warming, moderated by Mediterranean sea breezes that typically cap extremes below inland values. A late-July to early-August heat wave pushed central Israel temperatures higher before easing, leaving current guidance stable without significant model divergence or incoming disturbances. Trader consensus on 34–35°C outcomes reflects this narrow forecast range plus minor uncertainty in exact peak timing and local measurement, with lower probabilities for outliers given the absence of extreme heat indices or synoptic changes through the period. Updated model runs and IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will be key for any shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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