Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple agencies indicate Warsaw will likely see a maximum temperature of 22–23°C on August 11, driven by moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological August averages near 23–24°C while reflecting cooler-than-normal conditions from recent model runs showing suppressed ridging and modest cloud cover reducing insolation. Ensemble guidance shows low probability of exceeding 24°C or dropping below 21°C, consistent with stable pressure patterns and minimal advection of warmer air masses. Updated short-range models and official observations over the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 11?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 11?
22°C 39%
23°C 38%
24°C 11%
21°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C
11%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
23°C 38%
24°C 11%
21°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
$232 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$179 Vol.
1%
20°C
$213 Vol.
3%
21°C
$533 Vol.
9%
22°C
$859 Vol.
39%
23°C
$888 Vol.
38%
24°C
$567 Vol.
11%
25°C
$124 Vol.
2%
26°C
$388 Vol.
1%
27°C
$902 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,691 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple agencies indicate Warsaw will likely see a maximum temperature of 22–23°C on August 11, driven by moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological August averages near 23–24°C while reflecting cooler-than-normal conditions from recent model runs showing suppressed ridging and modest cloud cover reducing insolation. Ensemble guidance shows low probability of exceeding 24°C or dropping below 21°C, consistent with stable pressure patterns and minimal advection of warmer air masses. Updated short-range models and official observations over the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$6,575End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple agencies indicate Warsaw will likely see a maximum temperature of 22–23°C on August 11, driven by moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological August averages near 23–24°C while reflecting cooler-than-normal conditions from recent model runs showing suppressed ridging and modest cloud cover reducing insolation. Ensemble guidance shows low probability of exceeding 24°C or dropping below 21°C, consistent with stable pressure patterns and minimal advection of warmer air masses. Updated short-range models and official observations over the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,575End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple agencies indicate Warsaw will likely see a maximum temperature of 22–23°C on August 11, driven by moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological August averages near 23–24°C while reflecting cooler-than-normal conditions from recent model runs showing suppressed ridging and modest cloud cover reducing insolation. Ensemble guidance shows low probability of exceeding 24°C or dropping below 21°C, consistent with stable pressure patterns and minimal advection of warmer air masses. Updated short-range models and official observations over the next 24 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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