Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate highs near 32–36°C on August 11, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 36°C (42.5%) and 35°C (30.5%). A regional heat event peaked nearby with a 36.8°C record at the Hong Kong Observatory on August 9, supported by clear skies and low humidity that allowed strong daytime heating in the Pearl River Delta. Subtropical summer conditions, including monsoon moisture and potential afternoon thunderstorms, introduce uncertainty that could cap temperatures through increased cloud cover or trigger localized cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day variability, with some runs holding highs near 34–35°C under rain influence while drier scenarios sustain 36°C or briefly higher. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will determine the precise daily maximum used for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 11?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 11?
36°C 43%
35°C 31%
34°C 16%
37°C 10%
NEW
$12,753 Vol.
NEW
$12,753 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
16%
35°C
31%
36°C
43%
37°C
10%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 43%
35°C 31%
34°C 16%
37°C 10%
NEW
$12,753 Vol.
NEW
$12,753 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
29°C or below
$504 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,092 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,647 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,216 Vol.
3%
34°C
$1,075 Vol.
16%
35°C
$823 Vol.
31%
36°C
$2,004 Vol.
43%
37°C
$1,219 Vol.
10%
38°C
$1,442 Vol.
3%
39°C or higher
$1,339 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate highs near 32–36°C on August 11, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 36°C (42.5%) and 35°C (30.5%). A regional heat event peaked nearby with a 36.8°C record at the Hong Kong Observatory on August 9, supported by clear skies and low humidity that allowed strong daytime heating in the Pearl River Delta. Subtropical summer conditions, including monsoon moisture and potential afternoon thunderstorms, introduce uncertainty that could cap temperatures through increased cloud cover or trigger localized cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day variability, with some runs holding highs near 34–35°C under rain influence while drier scenarios sustain 36°C or briefly higher. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will determine the precise daily maximum used for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$12,753End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate highs near 32–36°C on August 11, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 36°C (42.5%) and 35°C (30.5%). A regional heat event peaked nearby with a 36.8°C record at the Hong Kong Observatory on August 9, supported by clear skies and low humidity that allowed strong daytime heating in the Pearl River Delta. Subtropical summer conditions, including monsoon moisture and potential afternoon thunderstorms, introduce uncertainty that could cap temperatures through increased cloud cover or trigger localized cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day variability, with some runs holding highs near 34–35°C under rain influence while drier scenarios sustain 36°C or briefly higher. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will determine the precise daily maximum used for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,753End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate highs near 32–36°C on August 11, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 36°C (42.5%) and 35°C (30.5%). A regional heat event peaked nearby with a 36.8°C record at the Hong Kong Observatory on August 9, supported by clear skies and low humidity that allowed strong daytime heating in the Pearl River Delta. Subtropical summer conditions, including monsoon moisture and potential afternoon thunderstorms, introduce uncertainty that could cap temperatures through increased cloud cover or trigger localized cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day variability, with some runs holding highs near 34–35°C under rain influence while drier scenarios sustain 36°C or briefly higher. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will determine the precise daily maximum used for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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