Current ensemble forecasts from major models project peak daytime temperatures in Milan on August 13 near 34–35°C under a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light easterly winds, and efficient solar heating. Official guidance from the UK Met Office and BBC aligns with highs of 34–36°C, while timeanddate.com shows slightly warmer guidance around 36–37°C, reflecting typical spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects at the official measurement site. With outcomes tightly clustered, small variations in afternoon cloud development or exact advection timing could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key refinement ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 13?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 13?
35°C 40%
34°C 36%
36°C 12%
33°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
6%
34°C
36%
35°C
40%
36°C
12%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 40%
34°C 36%
36°C 12%
33°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
$224 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$109 Vol.
3%
33°C
$390 Vol.
6%
34°C
$456 Vol.
36%
35°C
$420 Vol.
40%
36°C
$225 Vol.
12%
37°C
$65 Vol.
3%
38°C
$273 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$66 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models project peak daytime temperatures in Milan on August 13 near 34–35°C under a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light easterly winds, and efficient solar heating. Official guidance from the UK Met Office and BBC aligns with highs of 34–36°C, while timeanddate.com shows slightly warmer guidance around 36–37°C, reflecting typical spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects at the official measurement site. With outcomes tightly clustered, small variations in afternoon cloud development or exact advection timing could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key refinement ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,504End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models project peak daytime temperatures in Milan on August 13 near 34–35°C under a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light easterly winds, and efficient solar heating. Official guidance from the UK Met Office and BBC aligns with highs of 34–36°C, while timeanddate.com shows slightly warmer guidance around 36–37°C, reflecting typical spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects at the official measurement site. With outcomes tightly clustered, small variations in afternoon cloud development or exact advection timing could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key refinement ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,504End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models project peak daytime temperatures in Milan on August 13 near 34–35°C under a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light easterly winds, and efficient solar heating. Official guidance from the UK Met Office and BBC aligns with highs of 34–36°C, while timeanddate.com shows slightly warmer guidance around 36–37°C, reflecting typical spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects at the official measurement site. With outcomes tightly clustered, small variations in afternoon cloud development or exact advection timing could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key refinement ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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