Recent forecast guidance from KNMI and European models shows an incoming high-pressure ridge advecting warmer continental air northward, supporting maximum temperatures of 31–34 °C in Amsterdam on August 13 amid clear skies and light winds. Coastal moderation and variable sea-breeze timing introduce spread across ensembles, with some runs favoring 32–33 °C while others allow brief 34 °C peaks before any late-day cooling. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on those outcomes amid the fifth heatwave of the season, well above the 22 °C August climatological average, though small shifts in model timing or boundary-layer moisture could still adjust the daily high before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 13?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 13?
33°C 37%
32°C 31%
34°C 20%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
31%
33°C
37%
34°C
20%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 37%
32°C 31%
34°C 20%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
$693 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$79 Vol.
1%
29°C
$47 Vol.
1%
30°C
$198 Vol.
2%
31°C
$522 Vol.
7%
32°C
$626 Vol.
31%
33°C
$1,157 Vol.
37%
34°C
$774 Vol.
20%
35°C
$260 Vol.
6%
36°C
$109 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$41 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from KNMI and European models shows an incoming high-pressure ridge advecting warmer continental air northward, supporting maximum temperatures of 31–34 °C in Amsterdam on August 13 amid clear skies and light winds. Coastal moderation and variable sea-breeze timing introduce spread across ensembles, with some runs favoring 32–33 °C while others allow brief 34 °C peaks before any late-day cooling. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on those outcomes amid the fifth heatwave of the season, well above the 22 °C August climatological average, though small shifts in model timing or boundary-layer moisture could still adjust the daily high before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$4,509End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from KNMI and European models shows an incoming high-pressure ridge advecting warmer continental air northward, supporting maximum temperatures of 31–34 °C in Amsterdam on August 13 amid clear skies and light winds. Coastal moderation and variable sea-breeze timing introduce spread across ensembles, with some runs favoring 32–33 °C while others allow brief 34 °C peaks before any late-day cooling. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on those outcomes amid the fifth heatwave of the season, well above the 22 °C August climatological average, though small shifts in model timing or boundary-layer moisture could still adjust the daily high before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,509End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from KNMI and European models shows an incoming high-pressure ridge advecting warmer continental air northward, supporting maximum temperatures of 31–34 °C in Amsterdam on August 13 amid clear skies and light winds. Coastal moderation and variable sea-breeze timing introduce spread across ensembles, with some runs favoring 32–33 °C while others allow brief 34 °C peaks before any late-day cooling. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on those outcomes amid the fifth heatwave of the season, well above the 22 °C August climatological average, though small shifts in model timing or boundary-layer moisture could still adjust the daily high before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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