Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a daytime high of 31–32°C in Paris on August 11, positioning these as the leading market outcomes with combined implied probability exceeding 85%. A stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting warmer air masses, combined with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation, support strong daytime heating under clear skies. The urban heat island effect in central Paris may locally add 1–2°C, while limited model spread reflects high confidence in this range. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, but recent synoptic patterns favor the upper end of typical variability without triggering extreme heat alerts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 11?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 11?
31°C 52%
32°C 36%
33°C 8%
30°C 5%
NEW
$20,622 Vol.
NEW
$20,622 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
52%
32°C
36%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 52%
32°C 36%
33°C 8%
30°C 5%
NEW
$20,622 Vol.
NEW
$20,622 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
28°C or below
$6,670 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,093 Vol.
1%
30°C
$3,663 Vol.
5%
31°C
$3,002 Vol.
52%
32°C
$2,109 Vol.
36%
33°C
$1,016 Vol.
8%
34°C
$765 Vol.
4%
35°C
$727 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$720 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$455 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$403 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a daytime high of 31–32°C in Paris on August 11, positioning these as the leading market outcomes with combined implied probability exceeding 85%. A stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting warmer air masses, combined with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation, support strong daytime heating under clear skies. The urban heat island effect in central Paris may locally add 1–2°C, while limited model spread reflects high confidence in this range. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, but recent synoptic patterns favor the upper end of typical variability without triggering extreme heat alerts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$20,622End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a daytime high of 31–32°C in Paris on August 11, positioning these as the leading market outcomes with combined implied probability exceeding 85%. A stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting warmer air masses, combined with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation, support strong daytime heating under clear skies. The urban heat island effect in central Paris may locally add 1–2°C, while limited model spread reflects high confidence in this range. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, but recent synoptic patterns favor the upper end of typical variability without triggering extreme heat alerts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,622End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a daytime high of 31–32°C in Paris on August 11, positioning these as the leading market outcomes with combined implied probability exceeding 85%. A stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting warmer air masses, combined with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation, support strong daytime heating under clear skies. The urban heat island effect in central Paris may locally add 1–2°C, while limited model spread reflects high confidence in this range. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, but recent synoptic patterns favor the upper end of typical variability without triggering extreme heat alerts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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