Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including consensus runs from agencies tracking regional high-pressure systems, place Ankara’s maximum temperature on August 11 near 32°C under mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and low humidity. Current observations at stations such as Esenboğa Airport align with this outcome, as surface temperatures have already approached or reached 32°C midday without signs of rapid cooling or convective development. The near-certain market pricing reflects this tight model agreement and stable synoptic pattern typical for mid-August in central Anatolia. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a sharp wind shift that suppresses daytime heating, though such changes appear improbable within the remaining hours before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 11?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 11?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$41,314 Vol.
$41,314 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$41,314 Vol.
$41,314 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
26°C or below
$524 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$983 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,356 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,947 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,202 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$11,250 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$11,849 Vol.
100%
33°C
$5,287 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,426 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$881 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$610 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including consensus runs from agencies tracking regional high-pressure systems, place Ankara’s maximum temperature on August 11 near 32°C under mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and low humidity. Current observations at stations such as Esenboğa Airport align with this outcome, as surface temperatures have already approached or reached 32°C midday without signs of rapid cooling or convective development. The near-certain market pricing reflects this tight model agreement and stable synoptic pattern typical for mid-August in central Anatolia. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a sharp wind shift that suppresses daytime heating, though such changes appear improbable within the remaining hours before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$41,314End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including consensus runs from agencies tracking regional high-pressure systems, place Ankara’s maximum temperature on August 11 near 32°C under mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and low humidity. Current observations at stations such as Esenboğa Airport align with this outcome, as surface temperatures have already approached or reached 32°C midday without signs of rapid cooling or convective development. The near-certain market pricing reflects this tight model agreement and stable synoptic pattern typical for mid-August in central Anatolia. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a sharp wind shift that suppresses daytime heating, though such changes appear improbable within the remaining hours before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,314End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including consensus runs from agencies tracking regional high-pressure systems, place Ankara’s maximum temperature on August 11 near 32°C under mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and low humidity. Current observations at stations such as Esenboğa Airport align with this outcome, as surface temperatures have already approached or reached 32°C midday without signs of rapid cooling or convective development. The near-certain market pricing reflects this tight model agreement and stable synoptic pattern typical for mid-August in central Anatolia. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a sharp wind shift that suppresses daytime heating, though such changes appear improbable within the remaining hours before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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