Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–33°C for Karachi’s August 11 high because Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal guidance projects above-normal mean temperatures paired with below-normal rainfall across Sindh. Reduced monsoon cloud cover and convective activity allow greater solar insolation and less evaporative cooling, nudging daytime maxima toward the upper end of the late-monsoon climatological range of 31–33°C. Persistent high humidity and a moderating Arabian Sea breeze typically cap extremes, while ensemble model spreads and any residual low-level moisture convergence introduce the narrow uncertainty separating 32°C from 33°C. Fresh PMD daily guidance and updated global model runs expected within 48 hours will further refine surface temperature and wind forecasts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 11?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 11?
33°C 49%
32°C 43%
31°C 5%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
43%
33°C
49%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 49%
32°C 43%
31°C 5%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
28°C or below
$453 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$305 Vol.
1%
30°C
$336 Vol.
2%
31°C
$735 Vol.
5%
32°C
$2,131 Vol.
43%
33°C
$830 Vol.
49%
34°C
$344 Vol.
5%
35°C
$270 Vol.
2%
36°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$427 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$369 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–33°C for Karachi’s August 11 high because Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal guidance projects above-normal mean temperatures paired with below-normal rainfall across Sindh. Reduced monsoon cloud cover and convective activity allow greater solar insolation and less evaporative cooling, nudging daytime maxima toward the upper end of the late-monsoon climatological range of 31–33°C. Persistent high humidity and a moderating Arabian Sea breeze typically cap extremes, while ensemble model spreads and any residual low-level moisture convergence introduce the narrow uncertainty separating 32°C from 33°C. Fresh PMD daily guidance and updated global model runs expected within 48 hours will further refine surface temperature and wind forecasts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$6,450End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–33°C for Karachi’s August 11 high because Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal guidance projects above-normal mean temperatures paired with below-normal rainfall across Sindh. Reduced monsoon cloud cover and convective activity allow greater solar insolation and less evaporative cooling, nudging daytime maxima toward the upper end of the late-monsoon climatological range of 31–33°C. Persistent high humidity and a moderating Arabian Sea breeze typically cap extremes, while ensemble model spreads and any residual low-level moisture convergence introduce the narrow uncertainty separating 32°C from 33°C. Fresh PMD daily guidance and updated global model runs expected within 48 hours will further refine surface temperature and wind forecasts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,450End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–33°C for Karachi’s August 11 high because Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal guidance projects above-normal mean temperatures paired with below-normal rainfall across Sindh. Reduced monsoon cloud cover and convective activity allow greater solar insolation and less evaporative cooling, nudging daytime maxima toward the upper end of the late-monsoon climatological range of 31–33°C. Persistent high humidity and a moderating Arabian Sea breeze typically cap extremes, while ensemble model spreads and any residual low-level moisture convergence introduce the narrow uncertainty separating 32°C from 33°C. Fresh PMD daily guidance and updated global model runs expected within 48 hours will further refine surface temperature and wind forecasts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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