Recent forecasts from sources such as the BBC, Trip.com, and timeanddate.com indicate light rain or thundershowers and overcast skies for Qingdao on August 15, supporting trader clustering around 29–30°C as the most likely daily maximum. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with northeasterly flow and expected precipitation, is capping daytime heating below earlier August peaks across inland Shandong. Numerical weather models show modest variability tied to the timing and coverage of showers, which directly influence peak temperatures on the Celsius scale used for market resolution. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, while updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and short-term model runs over the next 48 hours remain the primary catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if conditions trend drier or clearer than anticipated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 15?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 15?
30°C 32%
29°C 31%
28°C 25%
31°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
25%
29°C
31%
30°C
32%
31°C
18%
32°C
13%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 32%
29°C 31%
28°C 25%
31°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
31%
30°C
$0 Vol.
32%
31°C
$0 Vol.
18%
32°C
$0 Vol.
13%
33°C
$54 Vol.
8%
34°C
$54 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources such as the BBC, Trip.com, and timeanddate.com indicate light rain or thundershowers and overcast skies for Qingdao on August 15, supporting trader clustering around 29–30°C as the most likely daily maximum. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with northeasterly flow and expected precipitation, is capping daytime heating below earlier August peaks across inland Shandong. Numerical weather models show modest variability tied to the timing and coverage of showers, which directly influence peak temperatures on the Celsius scale used for market resolution. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, while updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and short-term model runs over the next 48 hours remain the primary catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if conditions trend drier or clearer than anticipated.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$107End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources such as the BBC, Trip.com, and timeanddate.com indicate light rain or thundershowers and overcast skies for Qingdao on August 15, supporting trader clustering around 29–30°C as the most likely daily maximum. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with northeasterly flow and expected precipitation, is capping daytime heating below earlier August peaks across inland Shandong. Numerical weather models show modest variability tied to the timing and coverage of showers, which directly influence peak temperatures on the Celsius scale used for market resolution. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, while updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and short-term model runs over the next 48 hours remain the primary catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if conditions trend drier or clearer than anticipated.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$107End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources such as the BBC, Trip.com, and timeanddate.com indicate light rain or thundershowers and overcast skies for Qingdao on August 15, supporting trader clustering around 29–30°C as the most likely daily maximum. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with northeasterly flow and expected precipitation, is capping daytime heating below earlier August peaks across inland Shandong. Numerical weather models show modest variability tied to the timing and coverage of showers, which directly influence peak temperatures on the Celsius scale used for market resolution. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, while updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and short-term model runs over the next 48 hours remain the primary catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if conditions trend drier or clearer than anticipated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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