**The market's 100% concentration on 92-93°F reflects the official high temperature of 93°F recorded at Denver International Airport on August 12, 2026, per National Weather Service climatological data.** This outcome aligns with NWS point forecasts and ensemble model consensus issued in the days prior, which projected highs in the low-to-mid 90s under partly sunny skies with limited afternoon thunderstorm activity. Those storms provided only modest evaporative cooling across the Front Range, preventing any significant deviation below the observed value. The result fits within broader August 2026 conditions that followed early-month extremes near 102°F but moderated toward seasonal norms (climatological average high ~88°F). Trader positioning converged rapidly as observational data and short-range models locked in the narrow range, leaving negligible implied probability for bins outside 92-95°F. The primary scenario that could have challenged this would have been stronger or more widespread convective activity producing measurable cooling, or an unexpected revision in the official NWS daily summary—neither of which materialized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 12?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 12?
92-93°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$43,104 Vol.
$43,104 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
100%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$43,104 Vol.
$43,104 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
87°F or below
$6,506 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$6,856 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$7,677 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$8,197 Vol.
100%
94-95°F
$6,709 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$2,795 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$1,603 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$841 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$1,057 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$478 Vol.
<1%
106°F or higher
$386 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market's 100% concentration on 92-93°F reflects the official high temperature of 93°F recorded at Denver International Airport on August 12, 2026, per National Weather Service climatological data.**
This outcome aligns with NWS point forecasts and ensemble model consensus issued in the days prior, which projected highs in the low-to-mid 90s under partly sunny skies with limited afternoon thunderstorm activity. Those storms provided only modest evaporative cooling across the Front Range, preventing any significant deviation below the observed value.
The result fits within broader August 2026 conditions that followed early-month extremes near 102°F but moderated toward seasonal norms (climatological average high ~88°F). Trader positioning converged rapidly as observational data and short-range models locked in the narrow range, leaving negligible implied probability for bins outside 92-95°F.
The primary scenario that could have challenged this would have been stronger or more widespread convective activity producing measurable cooling, or an unexpected revision in the official NWS daily summary—neither of which materialized.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$43,104End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market's 100% concentration on 92-93°F reflects the official high temperature of 93°F recorded at Denver International Airport on August 12, 2026, per National Weather Service climatological data.**
This outcome aligns with NWS point forecasts and ensemble model consensus issued in the days prior, which projected highs in the low-to-mid 90s under partly sunny skies with limited afternoon thunderstorm activity. Those storms provided only modest evaporative cooling across the Front Range, preventing any significant deviation below the observed value.
The result fits within broader August 2026 conditions that followed early-month extremes near 102°F but moderated toward seasonal norms (climatological average high ~88°F). Trader positioning converged rapidly as observational data and short-range models locked in the narrow range, leaving negligible implied probability for bins outside 92-95°F.
The primary scenario that could have challenged this would have been stronger or more widespread convective activity producing measurable cooling, or an unexpected revision in the official NWS daily summary—neither of which materialized.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,104End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The market's 100% concentration on 92-93°F reflects the official high temperature of 93°F recorded at Denver International Airport on August 12, 2026, per National Weather Service climatological data.** This outcome aligns with NWS point forecasts and ensemble model consensus issued in the days prior, which projected highs in the low-to-mid 90s under partly sunny skies with limited afternoon thunderstorm activity. Those storms provided only modest evaporative cooling across the Front Range, preventing any significant deviation below the observed value. The result fits within broader August 2026 conditions that followed early-month extremes near 102°F but moderated toward seasonal norms (climatological average high ~88°F). Trader positioning converged rapidly as observational data and short-range models locked in the narrow range, leaving negligible implied probability for bins outside 92-95°F. The primary scenario that could have challenged this would have been stronger or more widespread convective activity producing measurable cooling, or an unexpected revision in the official NWS daily summary—neither of which materialized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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