Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance indicates a cooler-than-normal air mass over Denver on August 13, favoring daytime highs in the low 80s rather than the 88°F climatological normal. Partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon convection and variable steering patterns introduce uncertainty around peak temperatures, keeping the 80–83°F range as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Official observations at Denver International Airport, measured on the standard 24-hour cycle, will determine resolution; historical August variability and model spread explain why probabilities remain closely clustered without a single dominant bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 13?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 13?
80-81°F 31%
82-83°F 26%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 9%
NEW
$17,147 Vol.
NEW
$17,147 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
75°F or below
3%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 31%
82-83°F 26%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 9%
NEW
$17,147 Vol.
NEW
$17,147 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
75°F or below
$4,290 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$957 Vol.
9%
78-79°F
$2,160 Vol.
21%
80-81°F
$1,400 Vol.
31%
82-83°F
$2,903 Vol.
26%
84-85°F
$2,575 Vol.
5%
86-87°F
$999 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$208 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$829 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$437 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$389 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance indicates a cooler-than-normal air mass over Denver on August 13, favoring daytime highs in the low 80s rather than the 88°F climatological normal. Partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon convection and variable steering patterns introduce uncertainty around peak temperatures, keeping the 80–83°F range as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Official observations at Denver International Airport, measured on the standard 24-hour cycle, will determine resolution; historical August variability and model spread explain why probabilities remain closely clustered without a single dominant bin.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$17,147End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance indicates a cooler-than-normal air mass over Denver on August 13, favoring daytime highs in the low 80s rather than the 88°F climatological normal. Partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon convection and variable steering patterns introduce uncertainty around peak temperatures, keeping the 80–83°F range as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Official observations at Denver International Airport, measured on the standard 24-hour cycle, will determine resolution; historical August variability and model spread explain why probabilities remain closely clustered without a single dominant bin.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,147End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance indicates a cooler-than-normal air mass over Denver on August 13, favoring daytime highs in the low 80s rather than the 88°F climatological normal. Partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon convection and variable steering patterns introduce uncertainty around peak temperatures, keeping the 80–83°F range as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Official observations at Denver International Airport, measured on the standard 24-hour cycle, will determine resolution; historical August variability and model spread explain why probabilities remain closely clustered without a single dominant bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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