Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project a daily high near 35–36°C in Shenzhen on August 13, 2026, consistent with the city's subtropical monsoon climate where August averages 32–34°C but frequently peaks higher amid peak solar insolation and urban heat effects. High humidity above 75% and minimal cloud cover through midday support this range, with only scattered showers expected to limit further warming. The market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these model outputs and historical analogs for the region. A shift to prolonged heavy rainfall or stronger onshore flow could cap temperatures below 36°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such cooling before peak heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 13?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 13?
36°C 99.4%
37°C <1%
35°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
$54,612 Vol.
$54,612 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
99%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
36°C 99.4%
37°C <1%
35°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
$54,612 Vol.
$54,612 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
$1,387 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,012 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$837 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,293 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,816 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,708 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$8,438 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$12,946 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$5,318 Vol.
99%
37°C
$5,927 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$3,930 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project a daily high near 35–36°C in Shenzhen on August 13, 2026, consistent with the city's subtropical monsoon climate where August averages 32–34°C but frequently peaks higher amid peak solar insolation and urban heat effects. High humidity above 75% and minimal cloud cover through midday support this range, with only scattered showers expected to limit further warming. The market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these model outputs and historical analogs for the region. A shift to prolonged heavy rainfall or stronger onshore flow could cap temperatures below 36°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such cooling before peak heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$54,612End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project a daily high near 35–36°C in Shenzhen on August 13, 2026, consistent with the city's subtropical monsoon climate where August averages 32–34°C but frequently peaks higher amid peak solar insolation and urban heat effects. High humidity above 75% and minimal cloud cover through midday support this range, with only scattered showers expected to limit further warming. The market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these model outputs and historical analogs for the region. A shift to prolonged heavy rainfall or stronger onshore flow could cap temperatures below 36°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such cooling before peak heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$54,612End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project a daily high near 35–36°C in Shenzhen on August 13, 2026, consistent with the city's subtropical monsoon climate where August averages 32–34°C but frequently peaks higher amid peak solar insolation and urban heat effects. High humidity above 75% and minimal cloud cover through midday support this range, with only scattered showers expected to limit further warming. The market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these model outputs and historical analogs for the region. A shift to prolonged heavy rainfall or stronger onshore flow could cap temperatures below 36°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such cooling before peak heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions