Official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime high near 32°C in Shenzhen on August 14, driven by typical subtropical summer patterns with moderate humidity and possible scattered cloud cover or showers that cap extreme heat. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting recent model consensus and climatological baselines where August highs average around 32°C. Minor shifts in steering winds or precipitation timing could adjust the exact peak, while historical analogs show occasional excursions above 34°C under clearer, drier conditions. Updated numerical weather predictions and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 14?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 14?
31°C 39%
30°C 24%
32°C 20%
29°C 10%
NEW
$11,562 Vol.
NEW
$11,562 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
24%
31°C
39%
32°C
20%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 39%
30°C 24%
32°C 20%
29°C 10%
NEW
$11,562 Vol.
NEW
$11,562 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
$756 Vol.
1%
27°C
$472 Vol.
1%
28°C
$161 Vol.
3%
29°C
$251 Vol.
10%
30°C
$590 Vol.
24%
31°C
$3,378 Vol.
39%
32°C
$3,356 Vol.
20%
33°C
$846 Vol.
6%
34°C
$736 Vol.
2%
35°C
$453 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$564 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime high near 32°C in Shenzhen on August 14, driven by typical subtropical summer patterns with moderate humidity and possible scattered cloud cover or showers that cap extreme heat. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting recent model consensus and climatological baselines where August highs average around 32°C. Minor shifts in steering winds or precipitation timing could adjust the exact peak, while historical analogs show occasional excursions above 34°C under clearer, drier conditions. Updated numerical weather predictions and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$11,562End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime high near 32°C in Shenzhen on August 14, driven by typical subtropical summer patterns with moderate humidity and possible scattered cloud cover or showers that cap extreme heat. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting recent model consensus and climatological baselines where August highs average around 32°C. Minor shifts in steering winds or precipitation timing could adjust the exact peak, while historical analogs show occasional excursions above 34°C under clearer, drier conditions. Updated numerical weather predictions and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,562End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime high near 32°C in Shenzhen on August 14, driven by typical subtropical summer patterns with moderate humidity and possible scattered cloud cover or showers that cap extreme heat. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting recent model consensus and climatological baselines where August highs average around 32°C. Minor shifts in steering winds or precipitation timing could adjust the exact peak, while historical analogs show occasional excursions above 34°C under clearer, drier conditions. Updated numerical weather predictions and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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