Official observations from Houston Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and nearby stations on August 12, 2026, recorded an afternoon peak of 94°F under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow, placing the daily maximum squarely in the 94-95°F range and driving the market's near-certain consensus. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the region, where high humidity, sea-breeze effects, and scattered convection often limit extremes near the seasonal average of 94-95°F. National Weather Service data and model guidance had converged on this narrow band days earlier, reflecting limited instability and no strong subsidence to push readings higher. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event revisions to official records from different reporting stations or rare measurement discrepancies, though such shifts remain improbable given consistent multi-site verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 12?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 12?
94-95°F 100.0%
$45,862 Vol.
$45,862 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
94-95°F
100%
94-95°F 100.0%
$45,862 Vol.
$45,862 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
94-95°F
$10,354 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Houston Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and nearby stations on August 12, 2026, recorded an afternoon peak of 94°F under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow, placing the daily maximum squarely in the 94-95°F range and driving the market's near-certain consensus. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the region, where high humidity, sea-breeze effects, and scattered convection often limit extremes near the seasonal average of 94-95°F. National Weather Service data and model guidance had converged on this narrow band days earlier, reflecting limited instability and no strong subsidence to push readings higher. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event revisions to official records from different reporting stations or rare measurement discrepancies, though such shifts remain improbable given consistent multi-site verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$45,862End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Houston Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and nearby stations on August 12, 2026, recorded an afternoon peak of 94°F under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow, placing the daily maximum squarely in the 94-95°F range and driving the market's near-certain consensus. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the region, where high humidity, sea-breeze effects, and scattered convection often limit extremes near the seasonal average of 94-95°F. National Weather Service data and model guidance had converged on this narrow band days earlier, reflecting limited instability and no strong subsidence to push readings higher. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event revisions to official records from different reporting stations or rare measurement discrepancies, though such shifts remain improbable given consistent multi-site verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45,862End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from Houston Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and nearby stations on August 12, 2026, recorded an afternoon peak of 94°F under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow, placing the daily maximum squarely in the 94-95°F range and driving the market's near-certain consensus. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the region, where high humidity, sea-breeze effects, and scattered convection often limit extremes near the seasonal average of 94-95°F. National Weather Service data and model guidance had converged on this narrow band days earlier, reflecting limited instability and no strong subsidence to push readings higher. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event revisions to official records from different reporting stations or rare measurement discrepancies, though such shifts remain improbable given consistent multi-site verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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