Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 13, 2026, project a high near 101–102°F under persistent high pressure, with mostly sunny skies, south winds, and heat indices reaching 105–109°F. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where daily highs average 97–99°F but frequently approach or exceed 100°F during peak summer heat. Model consensus and current conditions favor 100–101°F as the most likely outcome, reflected in the 59.5% market-implied probability, while the 33.5% on 102–103°F accounts for minor forecast variability or localized warming. No significant fronts or precipitation are expected to alter the trajectory before peak afternoon temperatures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on August 13?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 13?
100-101°F 61%
102-103°F 24%
98-99°F 8%
104-105°F 4%
NEW
$13,604 Vol.
NEW
$13,604 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
8%
100-101°F
61%
102-103°F
24%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 61%
102-103°F 24%
98-99°F 8%
104-105°F 4%
NEW
$13,604 Vol.
NEW
$13,604 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
91°F or below
$267 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$1,166 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$781 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,426 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$1,184 Vol.
8%
100-101°F
$3,623 Vol.
61%
102-103°F
$2,793 Vol.
24%
104-105°F
$423 Vol.
4%
106-107°F
$589 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$853 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$499 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 13, 2026, project a high near 101–102°F under persistent high pressure, with mostly sunny skies, south winds, and heat indices reaching 105–109°F. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where daily highs average 97–99°F but frequently approach or exceed 100°F during peak summer heat. Model consensus and current conditions favor 100–101°F as the most likely outcome, reflected in the 59.5% market-implied probability, while the 33.5% on 102–103°F accounts for minor forecast variability or localized warming. No significant fronts or precipitation are expected to alter the trajectory before peak afternoon temperatures.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$13,604End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 13, 2026, project a high near 101–102°F under persistent high pressure, with mostly sunny skies, south winds, and heat indices reaching 105–109°F. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where daily highs average 97–99°F but frequently approach or exceed 100°F during peak summer heat. Model consensus and current conditions favor 100–101°F as the most likely outcome, reflected in the 59.5% market-implied probability, while the 33.5% on 102–103°F accounts for minor forecast variability or localized warming. No significant fronts or precipitation are expected to alter the trajectory before peak afternoon temperatures.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,604End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 13, 2026, project a high near 101–102°F under persistent high pressure, with mostly sunny skies, south winds, and heat indices reaching 105–109°F. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where daily highs average 97–99°F but frequently approach or exceed 100°F during peak summer heat. Model consensus and current conditions favor 100–101°F as the most likely outcome, reflected in the 59.5% market-implied probability, while the 33.5% on 102–103°F accounts for minor forecast variability or localized warming. No significant fronts or precipitation are expected to alter the trajectory before peak afternoon temperatures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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