Recent forecast models from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate project a peak temperature near 39°C (102°F) in Jeddah on August 14 under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 40°C (42.5%) and 39°C (24%). Jeddah's coastal Red Sea location typically moderates August extremes through high humidity near 50% and sea breezes, yielding historical daily highs of 37–38°C, though current guidance shows potential for 38–40°C depending on cloud cover and wind patterns. Trader consensus, reflected in these implied probabilities, incorporates the latest model runs with no major shifts expected before resolution, while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from variables like localized heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 14?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 14?
40°C 43%
39°C 25%
41°C or higher 24%
38°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
4%
38°C
6%
39°C
25%
40°C
43%
41°C or higher
24%
40°C 43%
39°C 25%
41°C or higher 24%
38°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
31°C or below
$374 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$454 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$562 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$513 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$606 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$159 Vol.
1%
37°C
$114 Vol.
4%
38°C
$1,189 Vol.
6%
39°C
$140 Vol.
25%
40°C
$733 Vol.
43%
41°C or higher
$649 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate project a peak temperature near 39°C (102°F) in Jeddah on August 14 under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 40°C (42.5%) and 39°C (24%). Jeddah's coastal Red Sea location typically moderates August extremes through high humidity near 50% and sea breezes, yielding historical daily highs of 37–38°C, though current guidance shows potential for 38–40°C depending on cloud cover and wind patterns. Trader consensus, reflected in these implied probabilities, incorporates the latest model runs with no major shifts expected before resolution, while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from variables like localized heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$5,492End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate project a peak temperature near 39°C (102°F) in Jeddah on August 14 under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 40°C (42.5%) and 39°C (24%). Jeddah's coastal Red Sea location typically moderates August extremes through high humidity near 50% and sea breezes, yielding historical daily highs of 37–38°C, though current guidance shows potential for 38–40°C depending on cloud cover and wind patterns. Trader consensus, reflected in these implied probabilities, incorporates the latest model runs with no major shifts expected before resolution, while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from variables like localized heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,492End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate project a peak temperature near 39°C (102°F) in Jeddah on August 14 under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 40°C (42.5%) and 39°C (24%). Jeddah's coastal Red Sea location typically moderates August extremes through high humidity near 50% and sea breezes, yielding historical daily highs of 37–38°C, though current guidance shows potential for 38–40°C depending on cloud cover and wind patterns. Trader consensus, reflected in these implied probabilities, incorporates the latest model runs with no major shifts expected before resolution, while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from variables like localized heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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