Latest weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a maximum temperature near 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 16, 2026, influenced by light rain, moderate humidity, and coastal marine effects that typically cap extremes. This aligns closely with long-term August climatology for the region, where daily highs average 29–30°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition. Recent observations show persistent onshore flow and scattered precipitation limiting daytime heating, reducing the likelihood of brief spikes above 32°C. Traders monitor updates from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date, as revisions in steering patterns or moisture could shift outcomes within the narrow historical range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 16?
32°C 36%
31°C 29%
33°C 26%
34°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
12%
31°C
29%
32°C
36%
33°C
26%
34°C
15%
35°C
14%
36°C or higher
14%
32°C 36%
31°C 29%
33°C 26%
34°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
26°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
4%
28°C
$10 Vol.
4%
29°C
$32 Vol.
10%
30°C
$23 Vol.
12%
31°C
$0 Vol.
29%
32°C
$0 Vol.
36%
33°C
$7 Vol.
26%
34°C
$0 Vol.
15%
35°C
$0 Vol.
14%
36°C or higher
$64 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a maximum temperature near 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 16, 2026, influenced by light rain, moderate humidity, and coastal marine effects that typically cap extremes. This aligns closely with long-term August climatology for the region, where daily highs average 29–30°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition. Recent observations show persistent onshore flow and scattered precipitation limiting daytime heating, reducing the likelihood of brief spikes above 32°C. Traders monitor updates from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date, as revisions in steering patterns or moisture could shift outcomes within the narrow historical range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$156End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a maximum temperature near 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 16, 2026, influenced by light rain, moderate humidity, and coastal marine effects that typically cap extremes. This aligns closely with long-term August climatology for the region, where daily highs average 29–30°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition. Recent observations show persistent onshore flow and scattered precipitation limiting daytime heating, reducing the likelihood of brief spikes above 32°C. Traders monitor updates from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date, as revisions in steering patterns or moisture could shift outcomes within the narrow historical range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$156End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a maximum temperature near 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 16, 2026, influenced by light rain, moderate humidity, and coastal marine effects that typically cap extremes. This aligns closely with long-term August climatology for the region, where daily highs average 29–30°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition. Recent observations show persistent onshore flow and scattered precipitation limiting daytime heating, reducing the likelihood of brief spikes above 32°C. Traders monitor updates from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date, as revisions in steering patterns or moisture could shift outcomes within the narrow historical range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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